Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 9–10°C for London's highest temperature on March 25, driven by the UK Met Office's latest forecast ensembles projecting daytime highs of 8–11°C amid a weak high-pressure ridge over the North Atlantic ushering in mild westerly flows. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover—thinner layers favor 10°C peaks via enhanced insolation, while increasing stratocumulus from residual frontal systems could cap maxima at 9°C or below. Historical March 25 norms hover near 10°C, but model spread reflects uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and sea-surface temperature influences, with lower odds on extremes due to subdued jet stream dynamics. Upcoming hourly updates from Heathrow observations will sharpen resolution criteria.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 25 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 25 mars ?
10°C 31%
9°C 28%
8°C 19%
7°C 18%
5°C ou moins
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
18%
8°C
19%
9°C
28%
10°C
31%
11°C
20%
12°C
7%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C ou plus
1%
10°C 31%
9°C 28%
8°C 19%
7°C 18%
5°C ou moins
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
18%
8°C
19%
9°C
28%
10°C
31%
11°C
20%
12°C
7%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C ou plus
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 21, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 9–10°C for London's highest temperature on March 25, driven by the UK Met Office's latest forecast ensembles projecting daytime highs of 8–11°C amid a weak high-pressure ridge over the North Atlantic ushering in mild westerly flows. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover—thinner layers favor 10°C peaks via enhanced insolation, while increasing stratocumulus from residual frontal systems could cap maxima at 9°C or below. Historical March 25 norms hover near 10°C, but model spread reflects uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and sea-surface temperature influences, with lower odds on extremes due to subdued jet stream dynamics. Upcoming hourly updates from Heathrow observations will sharpen resolution criteria.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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