Latest forecast models from agencies including those drawing on GFS data show Madrid reaching a peak of 35–36°C on September 15 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation, positioning these as the dominant market-implied outcomes at 37.5% and 49.5%. This aligns with a stable high-pressure pattern driving above-normal warmth, exceeding the 1991–2020 average high of 26.6°C yet remaining below the September 15 record of 34.3°C set in 1987. Consensus across runs supports afternoon maxima near 35–36°C with low uncertainty in the short-term window, though minor model spreads could shift resolution if official AEMET or airport observations differ. No significant updates are expected before market close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 15 septembre ?
36°C 52%
35°C 37%
37°C 10%
34°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
31°C ou moins
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
37%
36°C
52%
37°C
10%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C ou plus
<1%
36°C 52%
35°C 37%
37°C 10%
34°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
31°C ou moins
$85 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$97 Vol.
1%
33°C
$83 Vol.
1%
34°C
$353 Vol.
4%
35°C
$909 Vol.
37%
36°C
$897 Vol.
52%
37°C
$1,054 Vol.
10%
38°C
$143 Vol.
1%
39°C
$86 Vol.
1%
40°C
$86 Vol.
<1%
41°C ou plus
$136 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from agencies including those drawing on GFS data show Madrid reaching a peak of 35–36°C on September 15 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation, positioning these as the dominant market-implied outcomes at 37.5% and 49.5%. This aligns with a stable high-pressure pattern driving above-normal warmth, exceeding the 1991–2020 average high of 26.6°C yet remaining below the September 15 record of 34.3°C set in 1987. Consensus across runs supports afternoon maxima near 35–36°C with low uncertainty in the short-term window, though minor model spreads could shift resolution if official AEMET or airport observations differ. No significant updates are expected before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Volume
$3,929Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from agencies including those drawing on GFS data show Madrid reaching a peak of 35–36°C on September 15 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation, positioning these as the dominant market-implied outcomes at 37.5% and 49.5%. This aligns with a stable high-pressure pattern driving above-normal warmth, exceeding the 1991–2020 average high of 26.6°C yet remaining below the September 15 record of 34.3°C set in 1987. Consensus across runs supports afternoon maxima near 35–36°C with low uncertainty in the short-term window, though minor model spreads could shift resolution if official AEMET or airport observations differ. No significant updates are expected before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,929Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from agencies including those drawing on GFS data show Madrid reaching a peak of 35–36°C on September 15 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and negligible precipitation, positioning these as the dominant market-implied outcomes at 37.5% and 49.5%. This aligns with a stable high-pressure pattern driving above-normal warmth, exceeding the 1991–2020 average high of 26.6°C yet remaining below the September 15 record of 34.3°C set in 1987. Consensus across runs supports afternoon maxima near 35–36°C with low uncertainty in the short-term window, though minor model spreads could shift resolution if official AEMET or airport observations differ. No significant updates are expected before market close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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