Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses indicate a daily maximum temperature near 25°C for Mexico City on July 19, aligning with the market's leading 38.5% implied probability for that outcome and 27.5% for 26°C. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's high-altitude subtropical highland climate typically moderates July highs to an average of 23–24°C during the rainy season, when afternoon convective showers and cloud cover limit solar heating and peak temperatures. Recent model runs show no significant deviation from these norms, with light precipitation expected to cap extremes, supporting the tight clustering around 24–26°C while assigning low odds to outliers above 27°C or below 23°C. Updated guidance closer to resolution will refine these trader-consensus probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 19 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 19 juillet ?
25°C 100.0%
19°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$34,035 Vol.
$34,035 Vol.
19 juil. 2026
19°C ou moins
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Oui
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C ou plus
Non
25°C 100.0%
19°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$34,035 Vol.
$34,035 Vol.
19 juil. 2026
19°C ou moins
$1,732 Vol.
Non
20°C
$4,153 Vol.
Non
21°C
$3,319 Vol.
Non
22°C
$2,340 Vol.
Non
23°C
$2,304 Vol.
Non
24°C
$2,970 Vol.
Non
25°C
$4,083 Vol.
Oui
26°C
$8,207 Vol.
Non
27°C
$2,979 Vol.
Non
28°C
$1,200 Vol.
Non
29°C ou plus
$747 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses indicate a daily maximum temperature near 25°C for Mexico City on July 19, aligning with the market's leading 38.5% implied probability for that outcome and 27.5% for 26°C. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's high-altitude subtropical highland climate typically moderates July highs to an average of 23–24°C during the rainy season, when afternoon convective showers and cloud cover limit solar heating and peak temperatures. Recent model runs show no significant deviation from these norms, with light precipitation expected to cap extremes, supporting the tight clustering around 24–26°C while assigning low odds to outliers above 27°C or below 23°C. Updated guidance closer to resolution will refine these trader-consensus probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$34,035Date de fin
19 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses indicate a daily maximum temperature near 25°C for Mexico City on July 19, aligning with the market's leading 38.5% implied probability for that outcome and 27.5% for 26°C. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's high-altitude subtropical highland climate typically moderates July highs to an average of 23–24°C during the rainy season, when afternoon convective showers and cloud cover limit solar heating and peak temperatures. Recent model runs show no significant deviation from these norms, with light precipitation expected to cap extremes, supporting the tight clustering around 24–26°C while assigning low odds to outliers above 27°C or below 23°C. Updated guidance closer to resolution will refine these trader-consensus probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,035Date de fin
19 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses indicate a daily maximum temperature near 25°C for Mexico City on July 19, aligning with the market's leading 38.5% implied probability for that outcome and 27.5% for 26°C. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's high-altitude subtropical highland climate typically moderates July highs to an average of 23–24°C during the rainy season, when afternoon convective showers and cloud cover limit solar heating and peak temperatures. Recent model runs show no significant deviation from these norms, with light precipitation expected to cap extremes, supporting the tight clustering around 24–26°C while assigning low odds to outliers above 27°C or below 23°C. Updated guidance closer to resolution will refine these trader-consensus probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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