Current meteorological forecasts and climatological data indicate Mexico City daytime highs will reach the mid-20s Celsius on May 26, supporting the market-implied probability above 99% for a maximum temperature of 21°C or higher. Late-spring conditions under high pressure typically produce clear skies and strong solar heating at the high-elevation site, with official seasonal baselines from regional monitoring showing May averages near 25°C and low day-to-day variability. Ensemble model runs reinforce this outcome with minimal spread around the expected peak. An unexpected cold-front intrusion or major measurement revision remains the primary low-probability pathway that could shift the result below the threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 26?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 26?
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$8,008 Vol.
$8,008 Vol.
26 mai 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
Yes
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$8,008 Vol.
$8,008 Vol.
26 mai 2026
11°C or below
$506 Vol.
No
12°C
$452 Vol.
No
13°C
$439 Vol.
No
14°C
$459 Vol.
No
15°C
$452 Vol.
No
16°C
$452 Vol.
No
17°C
$467 Vol.
No
18°C
$463 Vol.
No
19°C
$668 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,633 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$2,015 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts and climatological data indicate Mexico City daytime highs will reach the mid-20s Celsius on May 26, supporting the market-implied probability above 99% for a maximum temperature of 21°C or higher. Late-spring conditions under high pressure typically produce clear skies and strong solar heating at the high-elevation site, with official seasonal baselines from regional monitoring showing May averages near 25°C and low day-to-day variability. Ensemble model runs reinforce this outcome with minimal spread around the expected peak. An unexpected cold-front intrusion or major measurement revision remains the primary low-probability pathway that could shift the result below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 24, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$8,008Date de fin
26 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 24, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts and climatological data indicate Mexico City daytime highs will reach the mid-20s Celsius on May 26, supporting the market-implied probability above 99% for a maximum temperature of 21°C or higher. Late-spring conditions under high pressure typically produce clear skies and strong solar heating at the high-elevation site, with official seasonal baselines from regional monitoring showing May averages near 25°C and low day-to-day variability. Ensemble model runs reinforce this outcome with minimal spread around the expected peak. An unexpected cold-front intrusion or major measurement revision remains the primary low-probability pathway that could shift the result below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,008Date de fin
26 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 24, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Current meteorological forecasts and climatological data indicate Mexico City daytime highs will reach the mid-20s Celsius on May 26, supporting the market-implied probability above 99% for a maximum temperature of 21°C or higher. Late-spring conditions under high pressure typically produce clear skies and strong solar heating at the high-elevation site, with official seasonal baselines from regional monitoring showing May averages near 25°C and low day-to-day variability. Ensemble model runs reinforce this outcome with minimal spread around the expected peak. An unexpected cold-front intrusion or major measurement revision remains the primary low-probability pathway that could shift the result below the threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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