Recent forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center and international models converge on a highest temperature near 17–18°C for Moscow on September 15, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and possible light rain. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while aligning with the seasonal average high of about 16.4°C. The 47.5% market-implied probability for 18°C reflects this consensus, with 19°C at 29.5% capturing upside potential if clearing occurs. Lower odds for 20°C or above stem from stable high pressure around 749–750 mmHg and cooling northerly flow, while probabilities cluster tightly around the forecast range given typical model agreement at this short lead time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 15 septembre ?
18°C 48%
19°C 30%
17°C 16%
20°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
13°C ou moins
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
16%
18°C
48%
19°C
30%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C ou plus
1%
18°C 48%
19°C 30%
17°C 16%
20°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
13°C ou moins
$292 Vol.
1%
14°C
$89 Vol.
1%
15°C
$79 Vol.
1%
16°C
$106 Vol.
5%
17°C
$220 Vol.
16%
18°C
$403 Vol.
48%
19°C
$401 Vol.
30%
20°C
$106 Vol.
6%
21°C
$19 Vol.
1%
22°C
$47 Vol.
1%
23°C ou plus
$207 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center and international models converge on a highest temperature near 17–18°C for Moscow on September 15, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and possible light rain. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while aligning with the seasonal average high of about 16.4°C. The 47.5% market-implied probability for 18°C reflects this consensus, with 19°C at 29.5% capturing upside potential if clearing occurs. Lower odds for 20°C or above stem from stable high pressure around 749–750 mmHg and cooling northerly flow, while probabilities cluster tightly around the forecast range given typical model agreement at this short lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$1,969Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center and international models converge on a highest temperature near 17–18°C for Moscow on September 15, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and possible light rain. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while aligning with the seasonal average high of about 16.4°C. The 47.5% market-implied probability for 18°C reflects this consensus, with 19°C at 29.5% capturing upside potential if clearing occurs. Lower odds for 20°C or above stem from stable high pressure around 749–750 mmHg and cooling northerly flow, while probabilities cluster tightly around the forecast range given typical model agreement at this short lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,969Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center and international models converge on a highest temperature near 17–18°C for Moscow on September 15, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and possible light rain. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while aligning with the seasonal average high of about 16.4°C. The 47.5% market-implied probability for 18°C reflects this consensus, with 19°C at 29.5% capturing upside potential if clearing occurs. Lower odds for 20°C or above stem from stable high pressure around 749–750 mmHg and cooling northerly flow, while probabilities cluster tightly around the forecast range given typical model agreement at this short lead time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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