The closely matched market-implied odds for 33°C and 34°C as Panama City's July 18 high reflect uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance amid the region's typical wet-season convection. Afternoon thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone often limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, with historical July averages near 31–32°C at Tocumen International Airport. Small variations in model consensus on precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, or light wind patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, while ENSO-neutral conditions provide no strong large-scale signal. Traders are monitoring the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus local Panamanian meteorological updates for clearer resolution criteria on the exact peak reading.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Panama City le 18 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Panama City le 18 juillet ?
33°C 100.0%
28°C ou moins <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$33,157 Vol.
$33,157 Vol.
18 juil. 2026
28°C ou moins
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Oui
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C
Non
38 °C ou plus
Non
33°C 100.0%
28°C ou moins <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$33,157 Vol.
$33,157 Vol.
18 juil. 2026
28°C ou moins
$2,248 Vol.
Non
29°C
$614 Vol.
Non
30°C
$662 Vol.
Non
31°C
$3,678 Vol.
Non
32°C
$2,246 Vol.
Non
33°C
$10,877 Vol.
Oui
34°C
$4,557 Vol.
Non
35°C
$4,210 Vol.
Non
36°C
$2,845 Vol.
Non
37°C
$666 Vol.
Non
38 °C ou plus
$553 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds for 33°C and 34°C as Panama City's July 18 high reflect uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance amid the region's typical wet-season convection. Afternoon thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone often limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, with historical July averages near 31–32°C at Tocumen International Airport. Small variations in model consensus on precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, or light wind patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, while ENSO-neutral conditions provide no strong large-scale signal. Traders are monitoring the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus local Panamanian meteorological updates for clearer resolution criteria on the exact peak reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$33,157Date de fin
18 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds for 33°C and 34°C as Panama City's July 18 high reflect uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance amid the region's typical wet-season convection. Afternoon thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone often limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, with historical July averages near 31–32°C at Tocumen International Airport. Small variations in model consensus on precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, or light wind patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, while ENSO-neutral conditions provide no strong large-scale signal. Traders are monitoring the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus local Panamanian meteorological updates for clearer resolution criteria on the exact peak reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,157Date de fin
18 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The closely matched market-implied odds for 33°C and 34°C as Panama City's July 18 high reflect uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance amid the region's typical wet-season convection. Afternoon thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone often limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, with historical July averages near 31–32°C at Tocumen International Airport. Small variations in model consensus on precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, or light wind patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, while ENSO-neutral conditions provide no strong large-scale signal. Traders are monitoring the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus local Panamanian meteorological updates for clearer resolution criteria on the exact peak reading.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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