Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major global ensembles points to a highest temperature in Toronto on August 25 likely falling in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid late-summer conditions featuring a mix of sun and cloud plus scattered showers. The near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C reflects small but decisive uncertainties in daytime heating: modest variations in cloud thickness, the exact timing of any shower activity, and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or allow an extra degree of warming. Historical late-August normals near 24–25°C provide baseline context, while the narrow probability spread on higher or lower outcomes underscores limited upside from stronger ridging or downside from more organized convection. Updated short-range runs and observational data over the next 12–18 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Toronto le 25 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Toronto le 25 août ?
24°C 41%
25°C 38%
23°C 10%
26°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
41%
25°C
38%
26°C
9%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 41%
25°C 38%
23°C 10%
26°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
19°C or below
$88 Vol.
1%
20°C
$88 Vol.
1%
21°C
$8 Vol.
1%
22°C
$3 Vol.
3%
23°C
$205 Vol.
10%
24°C
$130 Vol.
41%
25°C
$26 Vol.
38%
26°C
$52 Vol.
9%
27°C
$28 Vol.
1%
28°C
$70 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$101 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major global ensembles points to a highest temperature in Toronto on August 25 likely falling in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid late-summer conditions featuring a mix of sun and cloud plus scattered showers. The near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C reflects small but decisive uncertainties in daytime heating: modest variations in cloud thickness, the exact timing of any shower activity, and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or allow an extra degree of warming. Historical late-August normals near 24–25°C provide baseline context, while the narrow probability spread on higher or lower outcomes underscores limited upside from stronger ridging or downside from more organized convection. Updated short-range runs and observational data over the next 12–18 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$799Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major global ensembles points to a highest temperature in Toronto on August 25 likely falling in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid late-summer conditions featuring a mix of sun and cloud plus scattered showers. The near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C reflects small but decisive uncertainties in daytime heating: modest variations in cloud thickness, the exact timing of any shower activity, and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or allow an extra degree of warming. Historical late-August normals near 24–25°C provide baseline context, while the narrow probability spread on higher or lower outcomes underscores limited upside from stronger ridging or downside from more organized convection. Updated short-range runs and observational data over the next 12–18 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$799Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major global ensembles points to a highest temperature in Toronto on August 25 likely falling in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid late-summer conditions featuring a mix of sun and cloud plus scattered showers. The near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C reflects small but decisive uncertainties in daytime heating: modest variations in cloud thickness, the exact timing of any shower activity, and boundary-layer moisture that can suppress or allow an extra degree of warming. Historical late-August normals near 24–25°C provide baseline context, while the narrow probability spread on higher or lower outcomes underscores limited upside from stronger ridging or downside from more organized convection. Updated short-range runs and observational data over the next 12–18 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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