Recent ensemble and deterministic runs from ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s September 15 maximum near 19–21 °C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and weak high pressure, producing the market’s tight clustering around 20 °C (41 %). These temperatures sit close to the long-term September climatology for the city, with minimal diurnal amplification expected from modest insolation and dew points in the low-to-mid teens. Model spread remains narrow for this 24-hour horizon, though small differences in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon cloud cover could shift the realized high by 1 °C either side of the central forecast. Updated model cycles and official IMGW guidance issued later today represent the next key data points likely to influence trader positioning before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 15 septembre ?
20°C 42%
21°C 25%
19°C 24%
18°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
6%
19°C
24%
20°C
42%
21°C
25%
22°C
5%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C ou plus
1%
20°C 42%
21°C 25%
19°C 24%
18°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
$40 Vol.
1%
16°C
$10 Vol.
1%
17°C
$137 Vol.
3%
18°C
$109 Vol.
6%
19°C
$308 Vol.
24%
20°C
$299 Vol.
42%
21°C
$282 Vol.
25%
22°C
$20 Vol.
5%
23°C
$18 Vol.
3%
24°C
$38 Vol.
1%
25°C ou plus
$149 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble and deterministic runs from ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s September 15 maximum near 19–21 °C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and weak high pressure, producing the market’s tight clustering around 20 °C (41 %). These temperatures sit close to the long-term September climatology for the city, with minimal diurnal amplification expected from modest insolation and dew points in the low-to-mid teens. Model spread remains narrow for this 24-hour horizon, though small differences in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon cloud cover could shift the realized high by 1 °C either side of the central forecast. Updated model cycles and official IMGW guidance issued later today represent the next key data points likely to influence trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Volume
$1,411Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble and deterministic runs from ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s September 15 maximum near 19–21 °C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and weak high pressure, producing the market’s tight clustering around 20 °C (41 %). These temperatures sit close to the long-term September climatology for the city, with minimal diurnal amplification expected from modest insolation and dew points in the low-to-mid teens. Model spread remains narrow for this 24-hour horizon, though small differences in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon cloud cover could shift the realized high by 1 °C either side of the central forecast. Updated model cycles and official IMGW guidance issued later today represent the next key data points likely to influence trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,411Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble and deterministic runs from ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s September 15 maximum near 19–21 °C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and weak high pressure, producing the market’s tight clustering around 20 °C (41 %). These temperatures sit close to the long-term September climatology for the city, with minimal diurnal amplification expected from modest insolation and dew points in the low-to-mid teens. Model spread remains narrow for this 24-hour horizon, though small differences in boundary-layer mixing or afternoon cloud cover could shift the realized high by 1 °C either side of the central forecast. Updated model cycles and official IMGW guidance issued later today represent the next key data points likely to influence trader positioning before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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