**Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) ground operations remain confined to southern Lebanon up to the Litani River following the March 2026 invasion targeting Hezbollah infrastructure, with no verified advances toward Beirut, over 100 km north of the border.** A fragile ceasefire agreed on April 16 and extended for three weeks amid US-hosted talks has seen mutual violations, including IDF airstrikes on Beirut's southern suburbs and Hezbollah rocket fire. Israel entrenches its security zone while demanding Hezbollah disarmament, as Lebanese forces assert limited control. Ongoing diplomatic efforts and potential no-confidence votes in Lebanon's parliament could tip escalation risks before mid-May resolution deadlines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLes forces israéliennes entrent dans Beyrouth par... ?
$197,255 Vol.
31 mars
Non
30 avril
Non
$197,255 Vol.
31 mars
Non
30 avril
Non
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 16, 2026, 8:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) ground operations remain confined to southern Lebanon up to the Litani River following the March 2026 invasion targeting Hezbollah infrastructure, with no verified advances toward Beirut, over 100 km north of the border.** A fragile ceasefire agreed on April 16 and extended for three weeks amid US-hosted talks has seen mutual violations, including IDF airstrikes on Beirut's southern suburbs and Hezbollah rocket fire. Israel entrenches its security zone while demanding Hezbollah disarmament, as Lebanese forces assert limited control. Ongoing diplomatic efforts and potential no-confidence votes in Lebanon's parliament could tip escalation risks before mid-May resolution deadlines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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