FBI Director Kash Patel, confirmed by the Senate in a narrow 51-49 vote in February 2025, faces intensifying scrutiny from class-action lawsuits filed by fired agents alleging political retribution in terminations targeting counterterrorism specialists, an Iran-linked hack of his personal email reported March 27, and an April 2 Atlantic report on discussions of his potential exit amid broader Trump administration shakeups including Attorney General Pam Bondi's dismissal. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low near-term risk with 5% odds of removal by April 30 but rising to 62% by December 31, driven by these catalysts and congressional hearings on budget requests and Epstein files. Ongoing litigation and personnel probes could tip outcomes, though official White House statements affirm support.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$252,978 Vol.
30 avril
5%
30 juin
30%
31 décembre
61%
$252,978 Vol.
30 avril
5%
30 juin
30%
31 décembre
61%
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...FBI Director Kash Patel, confirmed by the Senate in a narrow 51-49 vote in February 2025, faces intensifying scrutiny from class-action lawsuits filed by fired agents alleging political retribution in terminations targeting counterterrorism specialists, an Iran-linked hack of his personal email reported March 27, and an April 2 Atlantic report on discussions of his potential exit amid broader Trump administration shakeups including Attorney General Pam Bondi's dismissal. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low near-term risk with 5% odds of removal by April 30 but rising to 62% by December 31, driven by these catalysts and congressional hearings on budget requests and Epstein files. Ongoing litigation and personnel probes could tip outcomes, though official White House statements affirm support.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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