The market's overwhelming 97% implied probability for a Miami low of 78-79°F on August 7 aligns with National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts projecting overnight minima near 79°F under a persistent subtropical high-pressure regime typical of peak summer. This setup maintains a warm, humid boundary layer with minimal nocturnal cooling from the Atlantic and Gulf influences, consistent with climatological averages of 78°F and recent observations showing similar overnight readings. No significant fronts or unusual atmospheric shifts are indicated in model guidance. The outcome could realistically shift only if unexpected heavy thunderstorm outflows or atypical cloud patterns enhance radiative cooling enough to push the minimum a degree or two lower, though current consensus across agencies shows low likelihood of such deviation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Miami le 7 août ?
La température la plus basse à Miami le 7 août ?
78-79°F 96%
76-77°F 3%
74-75°F 1.3%
72-73°F <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 août 2026
69°F ou moins
<1%
70-71 °F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
96%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87 °F
<1%
88°F ou plus
<1%
78-79°F 96%
76-77°F 3%
74-75°F 1.3%
72-73°F <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 août 2026
69°F ou moins
$493 Vol.
<1%
70-71 °F
$807 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$278 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$242 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$605 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$1,195 Vol.
96%
80-81°F
$981 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$263 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,126 Vol.
<1%
86-87 °F
$33 Vol.
<1%
88°F ou plus
$959 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 97% implied probability for a Miami low of 78-79°F on August 7 aligns with National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts projecting overnight minima near 79°F under a persistent subtropical high-pressure regime typical of peak summer. This setup maintains a warm, humid boundary layer with minimal nocturnal cooling from the Atlantic and Gulf influences, consistent with climatological averages of 78°F and recent observations showing similar overnight readings. No significant fronts or unusual atmospheric shifts are indicated in model guidance. The outcome could realistically shift only if unexpected heavy thunderstorm outflows or atypical cloud patterns enhance radiative cooling enough to push the minimum a degree or two lower, though current consensus across agencies shows low likelihood of such deviation.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$6,982Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 97% implied probability for a Miami low of 78-79°F on August 7 aligns with National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts projecting overnight minima near 79°F under a persistent subtropical high-pressure regime typical of peak summer. This setup maintains a warm, humid boundary layer with minimal nocturnal cooling from the Atlantic and Gulf influences, consistent with climatological averages of 78°F and recent observations showing similar overnight readings. No significant fronts or unusual atmospheric shifts are indicated in model guidance. The outcome could realistically shift only if unexpected heavy thunderstorm outflows or atypical cloud patterns enhance radiative cooling enough to push the minimum a degree or two lower, though current consensus across agencies shows low likelihood of such deviation.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,982Date de fin
7 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's overwhelming 97% implied probability for a Miami low of 78-79°F on August 7 aligns with National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts projecting overnight minima near 79°F under a persistent subtropical high-pressure regime typical of peak summer. This setup maintains a warm, humid boundary layer with minimal nocturnal cooling from the Atlantic and Gulf influences, consistent with climatological averages of 78°F and recent observations showing similar overnight readings. No significant fronts or unusual atmospheric shifts are indicated in model guidance. The outcome could realistically shift only if unexpected heavy thunderstorm outflows or atypical cloud patterns enhance radiative cooling enough to push the minimum a degree or two lower, though current consensus across agencies shows low likelihood of such deviation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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