Recent model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy on September 2, with light easterly to northerly winds and mostly clear skies promoting moderate radiative cooling overnight. This setup supports a daily minimum near 19°C in Milan, consistent with the market's leading implied probability, while slight variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed explain secondary clustering around 18°C and 20°C. No incoming cold advection or frontal systems are evident in the latest runs, keeping lower outcomes like 17°C or below at minimal odds. Updated forecasts released within the past 24 hours have shown only minor adjustments to overnight lows, sustaining trader focus on these narrow temperature thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Milan le 2 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Milan le 2 septembre ?
21°C 83%
22°C 83%
23°C 82%
15°C 81%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
81%
16°C
81%
17°C
10%
18°C
41%
19°C
58%
20°C
43%
21°C
83%
22°C
83%
23°C
82%
24°C or higher
75%
21°C 83%
22°C 83%
23°C 82%
15°C 81%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
14°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
15°C
$5 Vol.
81%
16°C
$0 Vol.
81%
17°C
$19 Vol.
10%
18°C
$0 Vol.
41%
19°C
$2 Vol.
58%
20°C
$0 Vol.
43%
21°C
$0 Vol.
83%
22°C
$15 Vol.
83%
23°C
$5 Vol.
82%
24°C or higher
$5 Vol.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy on September 2, with light easterly to northerly winds and mostly clear skies promoting moderate radiative cooling overnight. This setup supports a daily minimum near 19°C in Milan, consistent with the market's leading implied probability, while slight variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed explain secondary clustering around 18°C and 20°C. No incoming cold advection or frontal systems are evident in the latest runs, keeping lower outcomes like 17°C or below at minimal odds. Updated forecasts released within the past 24 hours have shown only minor adjustments to overnight lows, sustaining trader focus on these narrow temperature thresholds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$56Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy on September 2, with light easterly to northerly winds and mostly clear skies promoting moderate radiative cooling overnight. This setup supports a daily minimum near 19°C in Milan, consistent with the market's leading implied probability, while slight variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed explain secondary clustering around 18°C and 20°C. No incoming cold advection or frontal systems are evident in the latest runs, keeping lower outcomes like 17°C or below at minimal odds. Updated forecasts released within the past 24 hours have shown only minor adjustments to overnight lows, sustaining trader focus on these narrow temperature thresholds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$56Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF indicates a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy on September 2, with light easterly to northerly winds and mostly clear skies promoting moderate radiative cooling overnight. This setup supports a daily minimum near 19°C in Milan, consistent with the market's leading implied probability, while slight variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed explain secondary clustering around 18°C and 20°C. No incoming cold advection or frontal systems are evident in the latest runs, keeping lower outcomes like 17°C or below at minimal odds. Updated forecasts released within the past 24 hours have shown only minor adjustments to overnight lows, sustaining trader focus on these narrow temperature thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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