Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in Milan on September 3 will likely reach the low 20s Celsius under clear skies and light winds, driven by persistent high pressure and warm air advection rather than strong radiative cooling. This setup follows a period of above-average temperatures, keeping minimums well above the historical early-September average of 16–18°C. Trader sentiment reflects model consensus around 20–22°C with modest spread from local variations and timing of the daily minimum, while the 40% implied probability on 13°C or below highlights the low likelihood of significant cooling absent a cold front or increased cloud cover. Updated runs before resolution will refine exact thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Milan le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Milan le 3 septembre ?
23°C or higher 74%
13°C or below 73%
14°C 49%
21°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
13°C or below
73%
14°C
49%
15°C
2%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
31%
19°C
30%
20°C
26%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C or higher
74%
23°C or higher 74%
13°C or below 73%
14°C 49%
21°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
13°C or below
$5 Vol.
73%
14°C
$5 Vol.
49%
15°C
$48 Vol.
2%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
31%
19°C
$0 Vol.
30%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$20 Vol.
49%
22°C
$5 Vol.
49%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in Milan on September 3 will likely reach the low 20s Celsius under clear skies and light winds, driven by persistent high pressure and warm air advection rather than strong radiative cooling. This setup follows a period of above-average temperatures, keeping minimums well above the historical early-September average of 16–18°C. Trader sentiment reflects model consensus around 20–22°C with modest spread from local variations and timing of the daily minimum, while the 40% implied probability on 13°C or below highlights the low likelihood of significant cooling absent a cold front or increased cloud cover. Updated runs before resolution will refine exact thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$88Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in Milan on September 3 will likely reach the low 20s Celsius under clear skies and light winds, driven by persistent high pressure and warm air advection rather than strong radiative cooling. This setup follows a period of above-average temperatures, keeping minimums well above the historical early-September average of 16–18°C. Trader sentiment reflects model consensus around 20–22°C with modest spread from local variations and timing of the daily minimum, while the 40% implied probability on 13°C or below highlights the low likelihood of significant cooling absent a cold front or increased cloud cover. Updated runs before resolution will refine exact thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$88Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in Milan on September 3 will likely reach the low 20s Celsius under clear skies and light winds, driven by persistent high pressure and warm air advection rather than strong radiative cooling. This setup follows a period of above-average temperatures, keeping minimums well above the historical early-September average of 16–18°C. Trader sentiment reflects model consensus around 20–22°C with modest spread from local variations and timing of the daily minimum, while the 40% implied probability on 13°C or below highlights the low likelihood of significant cooling absent a cold front or increased cloud cover. Updated runs before resolution will refine exact thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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