Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate persistent high pressure and clear skies over northern Italy through September 4, favoring radiative cooling overnight with light northeasterly winds. This setup supports minimum temperatures near 22–23°C in Milan, consistent with climatological September norms around 16°C but elevated by the urban heat island and warm advection. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 18–20°C because local variations in cloud cover, wind mixing, and station measurement (airport versus city center) introduce meaningful spread in model outputs, while probabilities for 24°C+ or 14°C or below capture tail risks from forecast shifts in the final 48 hours. Upcoming model runs and NHC-equivalent regional guidance will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Milan le 4 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Milan le 4 septembre ?
14°C ou moins 83%
24°C ou plus 80%
17°C 78%
21°C 78%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
83%
15°C
20%
16°C
75%
17°C
78%
18°C
51%
19°C
47%
20°C
42%
21°C
78%
22°C
2%
23°C
78%
24°C ou plus
80%
14°C ou moins 83%
24°C ou plus 80%
17°C 78%
21°C 78%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
83%
15°C
$0 Vol.
20%
16°C
$0 Vol.
75%
17°C
$0 Vol.
78%
18°C
$0 Vol.
51%
19°C
$0 Vol.
47%
20°C
$0 Vol.
42%
21°C
$0 Vol.
78%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
78%
24°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate persistent high pressure and clear skies over northern Italy through September 4, favoring radiative cooling overnight with light northeasterly winds. This setup supports minimum temperatures near 22–23°C in Milan, consistent with climatological September norms around 16°C but elevated by the urban heat island and warm advection. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 18–20°C because local variations in cloud cover, wind mixing, and station measurement (airport versus city center) introduce meaningful spread in model outputs, while probabilities for 24°C+ or 14°C or below capture tail risks from forecast shifts in the final 48 hours. Upcoming model runs and NHC-equivalent regional guidance will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate persistent high pressure and clear skies over northern Italy through September 4, favoring radiative cooling overnight with light northeasterly winds. This setup supports minimum temperatures near 22–23°C in Milan, consistent with climatological September norms around 16°C but elevated by the urban heat island and warm advection. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 18–20°C because local variations in cloud cover, wind mixing, and station measurement (airport versus city center) introduce meaningful spread in model outputs, while probabilities for 24°C+ or 14°C or below capture tail risks from forecast shifts in the final 48 hours. Upcoming model runs and NHC-equivalent regional guidance will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate persistent high pressure and clear skies over northern Italy through September 4, favoring radiative cooling overnight with light northeasterly winds. This setup supports minimum temperatures near 22–23°C in Milan, consistent with climatological September norms around 16°C but elevated by the urban heat island and warm advection. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 18–20°C because local variations in cloud cover, wind mixing, and station measurement (airport versus city center) introduce meaningful spread in model outputs, while probabilities for 24°C+ or 14°C or below capture tail risks from forecast shifts in the final 48 hours. Upcoming model runs and NHC-equivalent regional guidance will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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