Current short-range model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a minimum temperature in Paris on September 6 near 14–16°C under building high pressure and clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow. This setup promotes radiative cooling overnight after a warm daytime peak near 28–31°C, though modest model spread arises from exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September 6 lows average 12.6°C, but recent continental air advection has kept values elevated. Traders appear to weigh this guidance against potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds calm further or if later model runs shift, creating closely matched probabilities across the 10–13°C range versus higher thresholds. Updated runs and observational data on September 5 will refine resolution criteria.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 6 septembre ?
20°C ou plus 53%
11°C 48%
15°C 39%
16°C 33%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
-
11°C
48%
12°C
15%
13°C
35%
14°C
20%
15°C
39%
16°C
33%
17°C
20%
18°C
19%
19°C
8%
20°C ou plus
53%
20°C ou plus 53%
11°C 48%
15°C 39%
16°C 33%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
$2 Vol.
-
11°C
$0 Vol.
48%
12°C
$0 Vol.
15%
13°C
$21 Vol.
35%
14°C
$0 Vol.
20%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
33%
17°C
$0 Vol.
20%
18°C
$0 Vol.
19%
19°C
$0 Vol.
8%
20°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a minimum temperature in Paris on September 6 near 14–16°C under building high pressure and clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow. This setup promotes radiative cooling overnight after a warm daytime peak near 28–31°C, though modest model spread arises from exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September 6 lows average 12.6°C, but recent continental air advection has kept values elevated. Traders appear to weigh this guidance against potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds calm further or if later model runs shift, creating closely matched probabilities across the 10–13°C range versus higher thresholds. Updated runs and observational data on September 5 will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$23Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a minimum temperature in Paris on September 6 near 14–16°C under building high pressure and clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow. This setup promotes radiative cooling overnight after a warm daytime peak near 28–31°C, though modest model spread arises from exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September 6 lows average 12.6°C, but recent continental air advection has kept values elevated. Traders appear to weigh this guidance against potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds calm further or if later model runs shift, creating closely matched probabilities across the 10–13°C range versus higher thresholds. Updated runs and observational data on September 5 will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model consensus from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a minimum temperature in Paris on September 6 near 14–16°C under building high pressure and clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow. This setup promotes radiative cooling overnight after a warm daytime peak near 28–31°C, though modest model spread arises from exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September 6 lows average 12.6°C, but recent continental air advection has kept values elevated. Traders appear to weigh this guidance against potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds calm further or if later model runs shift, creating closely matched probabilities across the 10–13°C range versus higher thresholds. Updated runs and observational data on September 5 will refine resolution criteria.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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