Current short-range forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service indicate Seattle's overnight low on September 2 will likely fall in the mid-50s°F amid an approaching frontal system, southerly flow, and periods of rain that limit radiational cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term climatological average low of 55.1°F for the date while explaining why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around the 50–61°F outcome bins. Model consensus remains moderate given the two-day lead time, with potential for small revisions depending on the exact timing of precipitation and wind speeds; traders monitor updated National Weather Service guidance and ensemble spreads for any shifts in minimum temperature expectations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Seattle le 2 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Seattle le 2 septembre ?
58-59°F 95%
62-63°F 95%
60-61°F 94%
54-55 °F 92%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
49°F ou moins
69%
10-10,6°C
51%
52-53°F
91%
54-55 °F
92%
56-57 °F
54%
58-59°F
95%
60-61°F
94%
62-63°F
95%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
22%
68°F ou plus
31%
58-59°F 95%
62-63°F 95%
60-61°F 94%
54-55 °F 92%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
49°F ou moins
$15 Vol.
69%
10-10,6°C
$0 Vol.
51%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
91%
54-55 °F
$0 Vol.
92%
56-57 °F
$0 Vol.
54%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
95%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
94%
62-63°F
$15 Vol.
95%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
20%
66-67°F
$5 Vol.
22%
68°F ou plus
$5 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service indicate Seattle's overnight low on September 2 will likely fall in the mid-50s°F amid an approaching frontal system, southerly flow, and periods of rain that limit radiational cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term climatological average low of 55.1°F for the date while explaining why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around the 50–61°F outcome bins. Model consensus remains moderate given the two-day lead time, with potential for small revisions depending on the exact timing of precipitation and wind speeds; traders monitor updated National Weather Service guidance and ensemble spreads for any shifts in minimum temperature expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$45Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service indicate Seattle's overnight low on September 2 will likely fall in the mid-50s°F amid an approaching frontal system, southerly flow, and periods of rain that limit radiational cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term climatological average low of 55.1°F for the date while explaining why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around the 50–61°F outcome bins. Model consensus remains moderate given the two-day lead time, with potential for small revisions depending on the exact timing of precipitation and wind speeds; traders monitor updated National Weather Service guidance and ensemble spreads for any shifts in minimum temperature expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service indicate Seattle's overnight low on September 2 will likely fall in the mid-50s°F amid an approaching frontal system, southerly flow, and periods of rain that limit radiational cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term climatological average low of 55.1°F for the date while explaining why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around the 50–61°F outcome bins. Model consensus remains moderate given the two-day lead time, with potential for small revisions depending on the exact timing of precipitation and wind speeds; traders monitor updated National Weather Service guidance and ensemble spreads for any shifts in minimum temperature expectations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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