**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a Tokyo minimum of 24°C for September 1, 2026, underpinning the market’s 94.5% implied probability on that outcome.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and light easterly winds have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping to the 22–23°C range typical under clearer conditions. Official guidance and ensemble outputs show the overnight low stabilizing around 24°C amid a warm, moist airmass lingering from late summer. This positioning reflects strong model consensus and real-time observations rather than speculation. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clearing trend or sharper wind shift that enhances cooling, though current atmospheric stability makes such a shift improbable before midnight local time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 1er septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 1er septembre ?
24°C 92%
23°C 2%
20°C 1.2%
21°C <1%
$10,010 Vol.
$10,010 Vol.
1 sept. 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
92%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 92%
23°C 2%
20°C 1.2%
21°C <1%
$10,010 Vol.
$10,010 Vol.
1 sept. 2026
19°C or below
$309 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$539 Vol.
1%
21°C
$761 Vol.
1%
22°C
$917 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,152 Vol.
2%
24°C
$1,362 Vol.
92%
25°C
$2,095 Vol.
1%
26°C
$538 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,039 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,174 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$124 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a Tokyo minimum of 24°C for September 1, 2026, underpinning the market’s 94.5% implied probability on that outcome.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and light easterly winds have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping to the 22–23°C range typical under clearer conditions. Official guidance and ensemble outputs show the overnight low stabilizing around 24°C amid a warm, moist airmass lingering from late summer.
This positioning reflects strong model consensus and real-time observations rather than speculation. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clearing trend or sharper wind shift that enhances cooling, though current atmospheric stability makes such a shift improbable before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$10,010Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a Tokyo minimum of 24°C for September 1, 2026, underpinning the market’s 94.5% implied probability on that outcome.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and light easterly winds have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping to the 22–23°C range typical under clearer conditions. Official guidance and ensemble outputs show the overnight low stabilizing around 24°C amid a warm, moist airmass lingering from late summer.
This positioning reflects strong model consensus and real-time observations rather than speculation. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clearing trend or sharper wind shift that enhances cooling, though current atmospheric stability makes such a shift improbable before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,010Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a Tokyo minimum of 24°C for September 1, 2026, underpinning the market’s 94.5% implied probability on that outcome.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and light easterly winds have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping to the 22–23°C range typical under clearer conditions. Official guidance and ensemble outputs show the overnight low stabilizing around 24°C amid a warm, moist airmass lingering from late summer. This positioning reflects strong model consensus and real-time observations rather than speculation. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clearing trend or sharper wind shift that enhances cooling, though current atmospheric stability makes such a shift improbable before midnight local time.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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