The 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial election remains early in the cycle, with Morena-PT-PVEM holding a commanding lead in party preference polling above 50 percent while opposition parties trail far behind. Trader odds stay tightly clustered because the outcome hinges on the coalition’s internal candidate selection process, where Héctor Santana García and Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez register the strongest name recognition and internal support in recent surveys, followed by Geraldine Ponce Méndez. The incumbent governor’s September 2026 report highlighted state economic expansion and improved security metrics, reinforcing the ruling bloc’s position without resolving which aspirant will secure the nomination. Scheduled registration deadlines and any forthcoming coalition surveys could shift momentum among the frontrunners before the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 34.5%
Héctor Santana García 31.8%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez 14.5%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 11.6%
$30,168 Vol.
$30,168 Vol.

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
35%

Héctor Santana García
32%

Geraldine Ponce Méndez
15%

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
12%

Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
3%

Pavel Jarero Velázquez
3%

Manuel Cota Jiménez
2%

Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
2%

Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
1%

Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
1%

Citlalli Rubí Huerta
1%

Luis Zamora Carrillo
1%

Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
1%

Gloria Núñez Sánchez
<1%

José Ramón Cambero Pérez
<1%

Nadia Ramírez López
<1%

María Elizabeth López Blanco
<1%

Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
<1%

José Antonio Barajas López
<1%

Paola Vargas Arciniega
<1%

Ignacio Flores Medina
<1%

Enrique Díaz López
<1%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 34.5%
Héctor Santana García 31.8%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez 14.5%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 11.6%
$30,168 Vol.
$30,168 Vol.

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
35%

Héctor Santana García
32%

Geraldine Ponce Méndez
15%

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
12%

Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
3%

Pavel Jarero Velázquez
3%

Manuel Cota Jiménez
2%

Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
2%

Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
1%

Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
1%

Citlalli Rubí Huerta
1%

Luis Zamora Carrillo
1%

Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
1%

Gloria Núñez Sánchez
<1%

José Ramón Cambero Pérez
<1%

Nadia Ramírez López
<1%

María Elizabeth López Blanco
<1%

Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
<1%

José Antonio Barajas López
<1%

Paola Vargas Arciniega
<1%

Ignacio Flores Medina
<1%

Enrique Díaz López
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial election remains early in the cycle, with Morena-PT-PVEM holding a commanding lead in party preference polling above 50 percent while opposition parties trail far behind. Trader odds stay tightly clustered because the outcome hinges on the coalition’s internal candidate selection process, where Héctor Santana García and Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez register the strongest name recognition and internal support in recent surveys, followed by Geraldine Ponce Méndez. The incumbent governor’s September 2026 report highlighted state economic expansion and improved security metrics, reinforcing the ruling bloc’s position without resolving which aspirant will secure the nomination. Scheduled registration deadlines and any forthcoming coalition surveys could shift momentum among the frontrunners before the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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