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Politique·Mexique

Gagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de Nayarit

icon for Gagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de Nayarit
Politique·Mexique

Gagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de Nayarit

Pavel Jarero Velázquez 77%

Enrique Díaz López 75%

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 33%

Manuel Cota Jiménez 27%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Pavel Jarero Velázquez 77%

Enrique Díaz López 75%

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 33%

Manuel Cota Jiménez 27%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Pavel Jarero Velázquez

Pavel Jarero Velázquez

$43 Vol.

77%

icon for Enrique Díaz López

Enrique Díaz López

$49 Vol.

75%

icon for Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez

$55 Vol.

33%

icon for Manuel Cota Jiménez

Manuel Cota Jiménez

$55 Vol.

27%

icon for Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu

$55 Vol.

24%

icon for Gloria Núñez Sánchez

Gloria Núñez Sánchez

$55 Vol.

24%

icon for María Elizabeth López Blanco

María Elizabeth López Blanco

$55 Vol.

24%

icon for Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez

Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez

$55 Vol.

24%

icon for José Ramón Cambero Pérez

José Ramón Cambero Pérez

$55 Vol.

24%

icon for Ivideliza Reyes Hernández

Ivideliza Reyes Hernández

$55 Vol.

23%

icon for Geraldine Ponce Méndez

Geraldine Ponce Méndez

$55 Vol.

22%

icon for Héctor Santana García

Héctor Santana García

$55 Vol.

21%

icon for Julieta Mejía Ibáñez

Julieta Mejía Ibáñez

$99 Vol.

30%

icon for Ivonne Sabrina Díaz

Ivonne Sabrina Díaz

$95 Vol.

18%

icon for José Antonio Barajas López

José Antonio Barajas López

$89 Vol.

22%

icon for Luis Zamora Carrillo

Luis Zamora Carrillo

$101 Vol.

24%

icon for Citlalli Rubí Huerta

Citlalli Rubí Huerta

$66 Vol.

26%

icon for Nadia Ramírez López

Nadia Ramírez López

$64 Vol.

21%

icon for Ignacio Flores Medina

Ignacio Flores Medina

$66 Vol.

22%

icon for Paola Vargas Arciniega

Paola Vargas Arciniega

$55 Vol.

7%

icon for Gustavo Ayón Aguirre

Gustavo Ayón Aguirre

$49 Vol.

-

icon for Jesús Armando Vélez Macías

Jesús Armando Vélez Macías

$63 Vol.

30%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Nayarit’s 2027 gubernatorial contest remains wide open, with no candidate exceeding low-40s implied probability as traders price a fragmented field ahead of party nominations. Morena, the state’s dominant force, faces multiple aspirants including Senator Pavel Jarero Velázquez, while opposition and independent figures such as Gustavo Ayón Aguirre and Enrique Díaz López trail further behind. Early positioning, internal polling, and coalition negotiations within the ruling party are the main variables keeping probabilities compressed. Upcoming candidate registration deadlines, primary conventions, and any high-profile endorsements or defections could quickly consolidate support and separate leaders. Resolution hinges on the official election outcome once nominees are finalized.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$1,388
Date de fin
6 juin 2027
Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Nayarit’s 2027 gubernatorial contest remains wide open, with no candidate exceeding low-40s implied probability as traders price a fragmented field ahead of party nominations. Morena, the state’s dominant force, faces multiple aspirants including Senator Pavel Jarero Velázquez, while opposition and independent figures such as Gustavo Ayón Aguirre and Enrique Díaz López trail further behind. Early positioning, internal polling, and coalition negotiations within the ruling party are the main variables keeping probabilities compressed. Upcoming candidate registration deadlines, primary conventions, and any high-profile endorsements or defections could quickly consolidate support and separate leaders. Resolution hinges on the official election outcome once nominees are finalized.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$1,388
Date de fin
6 juin 2027
Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Connexes

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Will Carlos Alberto Puente Salas win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?

41%
icon for Will Estrella Palacios Domínguez win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?

Will Estrella Palacios Domínguez win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?

41%
icon for Will Félix Arratia Cruz win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?

Will Félix Arratia Cruz win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?

45%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Gagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de Nayarit » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 22 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Gustavo Ayón Aguirre » à 41%, suivi de « Pavel Jarero Velázquez » à 39%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 41¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 41% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Gagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de Nayarit » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 5, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Gagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de Nayarit », parcourez les 22 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Gagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de Nayarit » est « Gustavo Ayón Aguirre » à 41%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 41% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Pavel Jarero Velázquez » à 39%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Gagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de Nayarit » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.