Imelda Castro Castro holds an 85% implied probability in the Sinaloa governor election market as Morena’s designated state coordinator for the defense of the transformation ahead of the June 2027 vote. National party leadership selected her in August 2026 following the political crisis surrounding former governor Rubén Rocha Moya’s U.S. indictment on cartel-related charges and his subsequent resignation after a brief return. Castro, a sitting senator who requested leave in June 2026, secured backing from President Sheinbaum and allied parties while maintaining distance from the Rocha faction. Earlier 2026 surveys showed Morena leading statewide voter intention at 37-41%, with Castro topping internal preferences. Lower-priced options, including María Teresa Guerra Ochoa and various opposition figures, reflect limited momentum outside the dominant party structure. The June 2027 election date sets the resolution timeline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourImelda Castro Castro 85%
María Teresa Guerra Ochoa 4.4%
Omar López Campos 3.7%
Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil 3.4%
$31,091 Vol.
$31,091 Vol.

Imelda Castro Castro
85%

María Teresa Guerra Ochoa
4%

Omar López Campos
4%

Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil
3%

Tomás de Jesús López Bajo
3%

Sergio Torres Félix
3%

Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros
3%

Graciela Domínguez Nava
3%

Lucila Ayala de Moreschi
2%

Guillermo Romero Rodríguez
2%

Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos
2%

Ricardo Madrid Pérez
2%

Paloma Sánchez Ramos
2%

Roxana Rubio Valdez
2%

Mario Zamora Gastélum
1%

Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez
1%

Eduardo Ortiz Hernández
1%

María Fernanda Rivera
1%

Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García
1%

Jesús Fernando García Hernández
1%

Estrella Palacios Domínguez
<1%
Imelda Castro Castro 85%
María Teresa Guerra Ochoa 4.4%
Omar López Campos 3.7%
Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil 3.4%
$31,091 Vol.
$31,091 Vol.

Imelda Castro Castro
85%

María Teresa Guerra Ochoa
4%

Omar López Campos
4%

Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil
3%

Tomás de Jesús López Bajo
3%

Sergio Torres Félix
3%

Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros
3%

Graciela Domínguez Nava
3%

Lucila Ayala de Moreschi
2%

Guillermo Romero Rodríguez
2%

Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos
2%

Ricardo Madrid Pérez
2%

Paloma Sánchez Ramos
2%

Roxana Rubio Valdez
2%

Mario Zamora Gastélum
1%

Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez
1%

Eduardo Ortiz Hernández
1%

María Fernanda Rivera
1%

Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García
1%

Jesús Fernando García Hernández
1%

Estrella Palacios Domínguez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Imelda Castro Castro holds an 85% implied probability in the Sinaloa governor election market as Morena’s designated state coordinator for the defense of the transformation ahead of the June 2027 vote. National party leadership selected her in August 2026 following the political crisis surrounding former governor Rubén Rocha Moya’s U.S. indictment on cartel-related charges and his subsequent resignation after a brief return. Castro, a sitting senator who requested leave in June 2026, secured backing from President Sheinbaum and allied parties while maintaining distance from the Rocha faction. Earlier 2026 surveys showed Morena leading statewide voter intention at 37-41%, with Castro topping internal preferences. Lower-priced options, including María Teresa Guerra Ochoa and various opposition figures, reflect limited momentum outside the dominant party structure. The June 2027 election date sets the resolution timeline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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