Anthropic’s September 22 announcement of Claude Opus 5.5 explicitly stated that Sonnet 5.5 and Haiku 5.5 would follow “in the coming weeks,” establishing the primary catalyst for current trader sentiment around an early-to-mid October window. This follows the rapid cadence of the 5.x series, with Sonnet 5 shipping June 30 and Fable 5.1 arriving September 1, while the company continues iterating on agentic capabilities, tool use, and cost efficiency to maintain competitive positioning against other large language model developers. The diffuse probabilities reflect uncertainty over exact internal timelines, typical slippage in model training and safety evaluations, and absence of further dated signals, though any additional roadmap updates or benchmark leaks could quickly shift the closely contested near-term dates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour27 septembre 26%
3 octobre 26%
28 septembre 25%
Le 24 septembre ou avant 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
Le 24 septembre ou avant
24%
25 septembre
14%
26 septembre
14%
27 septembre
26%
28 septembre
25%
29 septembre
14%
30 septembre
14%
1er octobre
14%
2 octobre
13%
3 octobre
26%
4 octobre
13%
5 octobre
14%
6 octobre
14%
7 octobre
14%
8 octobre
14%
9 octobre
14%
10 octobre
14%
11 octobre
14%
12 octobre
14%
13 octobre
14%
14 octobre
14%
15 octobre
14%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 15 octobre
14%
27 septembre 26%
3 octobre 26%
28 septembre 25%
Le 24 septembre ou avant 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
Le 24 septembre ou avant
$0 Vol.
24%
25 septembre
$0 Vol.
14%
26 septembre
$0 Vol.
14%
27 septembre
$0 Vol.
26%
28 septembre
$0 Vol.
25%
29 septembre
$0 Vol.
14%
30 septembre
$0 Vol.
14%
1er octobre
$0 Vol.
14%
2 octobre
$0 Vol.
13%
3 octobre
$0 Vol.
26%
4 octobre
$0 Vol.
13%
5 octobre
$0 Vol.
14%
6 octobre
$0 Vol.
14%
7 octobre
$0 Vol.
14%
8 octobre
$0 Vol.
14%
9 octobre
$0 Vol.
14%
10 octobre
$0 Vol.
14%
11 octobre
$0 Vol.
14%
12 octobre
$0 Vol.
14%
13 octobre
$0 Vol.
14%
14 octobre
$0 Vol.
14%
15 octobre
$0 Vol.
14%
Aucune sortie d'ici le 15 octobre
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s September 22 announcement of Claude Opus 5.5 explicitly stated that Sonnet 5.5 and Haiku 5.5 would follow “in the coming weeks,” establishing the primary catalyst for current trader sentiment around an early-to-mid October window. This follows the rapid cadence of the 5.x series, with Sonnet 5 shipping June 30 and Fable 5.1 arriving September 1, while the company continues iterating on agentic capabilities, tool use, and cost efficiency to maintain competitive positioning against other large language model developers. The diffuse probabilities reflect uncertainty over exact internal timelines, typical slippage in model training and safety evaluations, and absence of further dated signals, though any additional roadmap updates or benchmark leaks could quickly shift the closely contested near-term dates.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Sep 24, 2026, 3:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
16 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 24, 2026, 3:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s September 22 announcement of Claude Opus 5.5 explicitly stated that Sonnet 5.5 and Haiku 5.5 would follow “in the coming weeks,” establishing the primary catalyst for current trader sentiment around an early-to-mid October window. This follows the rapid cadence of the 5.x series, with Sonnet 5 shipping June 30 and Fable 5.1 arriving September 1, while the company continues iterating on agentic capabilities, tool use, and cost efficiency to maintain competitive positioning against other large language model developers. The diffuse probabilities reflect uncertainty over exact internal timelines, typical slippage in model training and safety evaluations, and absence of further dated signals, though any additional roadmap updates or benchmark leaks could quickly shift the closely contested near-term dates.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$0Date de fin
16 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 24, 2026, 3:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Anthropic’s September 22 announcement of Claude Opus 5.5 explicitly stated that Sonnet 5.5 and Haiku 5.5 would follow “in the coming weeks,” establishing the primary catalyst for current trader sentiment around an early-to-mid October window. This follows the rapid cadence of the 5.x series, with Sonnet 5 shipping June 30 and Fable 5.1 arriving September 1, while the company continues iterating on agentic capabilities, tool use, and cost efficiency to maintain competitive positioning against other large language model developers. The diffuse probabilities reflect uncertainty over exact internal timelines, typical slippage in model training and safety evaluations, and absence of further dated signals, though any additional roadmap updates or benchmark leaks could quickly shift the closely contested near-term dates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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