Ohio's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat under the state's 2025 redrawn map, which extends further into rural Appalachian areas and contributes to its R+21 partisan voting index. Incumbent Republican David Taylor secured the nomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democratic nominee Jen Mazzuckelli with a substantial prior margin of victory exceeding 70 percent. This structural advantage, combined with limited competitive polling and fundraising data through mid-2026, underpins the market's 93.5 percent Republican consensus. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political wave, late-cycle candidate withdrawal, or significant local scandal, though historical base rates for such districts indicate low volatility absent major developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGagnant de l'élection à la Chambre OH-02
Gagnant de l'élection à la Chambre OH-02
$54,095 Vol.
$54,095 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
7%
$54,095 Vol.
$54,095 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$18,396 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$35,699 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat under the state's 2025 redrawn map, which extends further into rural Appalachian areas and contributes to its R+21 partisan voting index. Incumbent Republican David Taylor secured the nomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democratic nominee Jen Mazzuckelli with a substantial prior margin of victory exceeding 70 percent. This structural advantage, combined with limited competitive polling and fundraising data through mid-2026, underpins the market's 93.5 percent Republican consensus. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political wave, late-cycle candidate withdrawal, or significant local scandal, though historical base rates for such districts indicate low volatility absent major developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$54,095Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat under the state's 2025 redrawn map, which extends further into rural Appalachian areas and contributes to its R+21 partisan voting index. Incumbent Republican David Taylor secured the nomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democratic nominee Jen Mazzuckelli with a substantial prior margin of victory exceeding 70 percent. This structural advantage, combined with limited competitive polling and fundraising data through mid-2026, underpins the market's 93.5 percent Republican consensus. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political wave, late-cycle candidate withdrawal, or significant local scandal, though historical base rates for such districts indicate low volatility absent major developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$54,095Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat under the state's 2025 redrawn map, which extends further into rural Appalachian areas and contributes to its R+21 partisan voting index. Incumbent Republican David Taylor secured the nomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Democratic nominee Jen Mazzuckelli with a substantial prior margin of victory exceeding 70 percent. This structural advantage, combined with limited competitive polling and fundraising data through mid-2026, underpins the market's 93.5 percent Republican consensus. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected national political wave, late-cycle candidate withdrawal, or significant local scandal, though historical base rates for such districts indicate low volatility absent major developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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