Direct US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad on April 11-12 marked the first high-level face-to-face negotiations since 1979, led by US Vice President JD Vance, envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, and Iran's parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf alongside Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, but ended after 21 hours without agreement on ceasefire extension or war-ending terms. Amid a fragile two-week truce expiring next week and a US blockade of Iranian ports, Pakistani mediators are pressing for a second round possibly within days, with President Trump expressing optimism and White House sources noting momentum. Sticking points include nuclear suspension, sanctions relief, and regional ceasefires in Lebanon, as traders weigh escalation risks against diplomatic breakthroughs before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRéunion diplomatique entre les États-Unis et l'Iran d'ici le... ?
Réunion diplomatique entre les États-Unis et l'Iran d'ici le... ?
$1,197,984 Vol.
16 avril
1%
17 avril
3%
18 avril
8%
22 avril
70%
30 avril
90%
$1,197,984 Vol.
16 avril
1%
17 avril
3%
18 avril
8%
22 avril
70%
30 avril
90%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Direct US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad on April 11-12 marked the first high-level face-to-face negotiations since 1979, led by US Vice President JD Vance, envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, and Iran's parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf alongside Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, but ended after 21 hours without agreement on ceasefire extension or war-ending terms. Amid a fragile two-week truce expiring next week and a US blockade of Iranian ports, Pakistani mediators are pressing for a second round possibly within days, with President Trump expressing optimism and White House sources noting momentum. Sticking points include nuclear suspension, sanctions relief, and regional ceasefires in Lebanon, as traders weigh escalation risks against diplomatic breakthroughs before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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