Amid escalating tensions from the U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz that began this week, diplomats are actively arranging a second round of direct US-Iran talks after marathon negotiations in Islamabad on April 11-12 failed to secure a ceasefire extension or broader peace deal. Pakistan continues mediating, with President Trump signaling a possible meeting within days, potentially in Islamabad or Geneva, while Iranian officials downplay progress but affirm ongoing engagement. Key sticking points include nuclear enrichment limits, sanctions relief, and regional proxies; no date is confirmed, leaving the fragile truce vulnerable to breakdown before any diplomatic breakthrough. Traders eye Pakistani shuttle diplomacy and upcoming U.S. congressional briefings as potential catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRéunion diplomatique entre les États-Unis et l'Iran d'ici le... ?
Réunion diplomatique entre les États-Unis et l'Iran d'ici le... ?
$1,135,129 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
16 avril
1%
17 avril
4%
18 avril
11%
22 avril
69%
30 avril
89%
$1,135,129 Vol.
16 avril
$93,114 Vol.
1%
17 avril
$49,070 Vol.
4%
18 avril
$577,354 Vol.
11%
22 avril
$230,845 Vol.
69%
30 avril
$118,844 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating tensions from the U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz that began this week, diplomats are actively arranging a second round of direct US-Iran talks after marathon negotiations in Islamabad on April 11-12 failed to secure a ceasefire extension or broader peace deal. Pakistan continues mediating, with President Trump signaling a possible meeting within days, potentially in Islamabad or Geneva, while Iranian officials downplay progress but affirm ongoing engagement. Key sticking points include nuclear enrichment limits, sanctions relief, and regional proxies; no date is confirmed, leaving the fragile truce vulnerable to breakdown before any diplomatic breakthrough. Traders eye Pakistani shuttle diplomacy and upcoming U.S. congressional briefings as potential catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Volume
$1,135,129Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating tensions from the U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz that began this week, diplomats are actively arranging a second round of direct US-Iran talks after marathon negotiations in Islamabad on April 11-12 failed to secure a ceasefire extension or broader peace deal. Pakistan continues mediating, with President Trump signaling a possible meeting within days, potentially in Islamabad or Geneva, while Iranian officials downplay progress but affirm ongoing engagement. Key sticking points include nuclear enrichment limits, sanctions relief, and regional proxies; no date is confirmed, leaving the fragile truce vulnerable to breakdown before any diplomatic breakthrough. Traders eye Pakistani shuttle diplomacy and upcoming U.S. congressional briefings as potential catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,135,129Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating tensions from the U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz that began this week, diplomats are actively arranging a second round of direct US-Iran talks after marathon negotiations in Islamabad on April 11-12 failed to secure a ceasefire extension or broader peace deal. Pakistan continues mediating, with President Trump signaling a possible meeting within days, potentially in Islamabad or Geneva, while Iranian officials downplay progress but affirm ongoing engagement. Key sticking points include nuclear enrichment limits, sanctions relief, and regional proxies; no date is confirmed, leaving the fragile truce vulnerable to breakdown before any diplomatic breakthrough. Traders eye Pakistani shuttle diplomacy and upcoming U.S. congressional briefings as potential catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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