Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Crude Oil (CL) settling in the $90–$100 range on April 8, 2026, driven by the official NYMEX front-month futures settlement at $96.62 per barrel—firmly within the bracket—following a dramatic 16% intraday plunge from highs above $110. This sharp reversal stemmed from President Trump's announcement of a two-week US-Iran ceasefire, easing geopolitical risk premiums tied to Strait of Hormuz disruptions and prior war escalations that had propelled prices to four-week peaks. Larger-than-expected US crude stock builds further pressured sentiment. With CME pricing finalized, resolution is certain barring an extraordinary data revision, an improbable event given standardized protocols.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour90 $–100 $ 100.0%
<70 $ <1%
70–80 $ <1%
80–90 $ <1%
$177,260 Vol.
$177,260 Vol.
8 avr. 2026
<70 $
Non
70–80 $
Non
80–90 $
Non
90 $–100 $
Oui
100–110 $
Non
110 $ et plus
Non
90 $–100 $ 100.0%
<70 $ <1%
70–80 $ <1%
80–90 $ <1%
$177,260 Vol.
$177,260 Vol.
8 avr. 2026
<70 $
$6,967 Vol.
Non
70–80 $
$12,548 Vol.
Non
80–90 $
$58,128 Vol.
Non
90 $–100 $
$35,770 Vol.
Oui
100–110 $
$45,837 Vol.
Non
110 $ et plus
$18,010 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the relevant day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Crude Oil (CL) settling in the $90–$100 range on April 8, 2026, driven by the official NYMEX front-month futures settlement at $96.62 per barrel—firmly within the bracket—following a dramatic 16% intraday plunge from highs above $110. This sharp reversal stemmed from President Trump's announcement of a two-week US-Iran ceasefire, easing geopolitical risk premiums tied to Strait of Hormuz disruptions and prior war escalations that had propelled prices to four-week peaks. Larger-than-expected US crude stock builds further pressured sentiment. With CME pricing finalized, resolution is certain barring an extraordinary data revision, an improbable event given standardized protocols.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the relevant day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the relevant day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Volume
$177,260Date de fin
8 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the relevant day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Crude Oil (CL) settling in the $90–$100 range on April 8, 2026, driven by the official NYMEX front-month futures settlement at $96.62 per barrel—firmly within the bracket—following a dramatic 16% intraday plunge from highs above $110. This sharp reversal stemmed from President Trump's announcement of a two-week US-Iran ceasefire, easing geopolitical risk premiums tied to Strait of Hormuz disruptions and prior war escalations that had propelled prices to four-week peaks. Larger-than-expected US crude stock builds further pressured sentiment. With CME pricing finalized, resolution is certain barring an extraordinary data revision, an improbable event given standardized protocols.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the relevant day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the relevant day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$177,260Date de fin
8 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Crude Oil (CL) settling in the $90–$100 range on April 8, 2026, driven by the official NYMEX front-month futures settlement at $96.62 per barrel—firmly within the bracket—following a dramatic 16% intraday plunge from highs above $110. This sharp reversal stemmed from President Trump's announcement of a two-week US-Iran ceasefire, easing geopolitical risk premiums tied to Strait of Hormuz disruptions and prior war escalations that had propelled prices to four-week peaks. Larger-than-expected US crude stock builds further pressured sentiment. With CME pricing finalized, resolution is certain barring an extraordinary data revision, an improbable event given standardized protocols.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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