Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, assign a leading 22.1% implied probability to Argentina's 2026 annual inflation falling in the 30.0-34.9% range, with nearby bands tightly contested amid divergent risks. March 2026 INDEC CPI surged to 3.4% monthly—the year's highest—pushing Q1 cumulative inflation to 9.4% and nearly exhausting the official budget target, prompting BCRA's REM survey to lift full-year forecasts to 29.1% and Reuters economists to 30.0%. President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening underpin disinflation hopes for sub-30% paths, but regulated price hikes and wage inertia risk spillover to 35%+, with April CPI and Economy Minister Caputo's IMF meetings as pivotal catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाArgentina Annual Inflation 2026
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
30.0-34.9% 19.8%
25-29.9% 16%
<20% 13.6%
35–39.9% 13.6%
<20%
8%
20-24.9%
14%
25-29.9%
16%
30.0-34.9%
22%
35–39.9%
14%
40-44.9%
12%
45%+
6%
30.0-34.9% 19.8%
25-29.9% 16%
<20% 13.6%
35–39.9% 13.6%
<20%
8%
20-24.9%
14%
25-29.9%
16%
30.0-34.9%
22%
35–39.9%
14%
40-44.9%
12%
45%+
6%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, assign a leading 22.1% implied probability to Argentina's 2026 annual inflation falling in the 30.0-34.9% range, with nearby bands tightly contested amid divergent risks. March 2026 INDEC CPI surged to 3.4% monthly—the year's highest—pushing Q1 cumulative inflation to 9.4% and nearly exhausting the official budget target, prompting BCRA's REM survey to lift full-year forecasts to 29.1% and Reuters economists to 30.0%. President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening underpin disinflation hopes for sub-30% paths, but regulated price hikes and wage inertia risk spillover to 35%+, with April CPI and Economy Minister Caputo's IMF meetings as pivotal catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न