Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, have priced a fragmented consensus for Argentina's 2026 annual CPI inflation around 30%, with the 30.0-34.9% band leading at 22.1% implied probability amid closely contested outcomes. March 2026 consumer prices rose 3.4% month-over-month—highest this year and above 3.0% consensus—pushing year-to-date inflation to 9.4% and year-over-year to 32.6%, driven by regulated utilities and seasonal costs. This tempers disinflation expectations under President Milei's fiscal austerity, aligning with Reuters poll median of 30.0% and central bank survey at 29.1%, up from prior estimates due to oil shocks. Key swing factors include April CPI trajectory and sustained monetary tightening; deceleration below 2.5% monthly could favor sub-30% bands, while persistent pass-through risks elevate upper buckets.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाArgentina Annual Inflation 2026
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
30.0-34.9% 19.8%
25-29.9% 16%
20-24.9% 15.0%
35–39.9% 13.8%
नया
नया
10 जन, 2027
<20%
8%
20-24.9%
15%
25-29.9%
16%
30.0-34.9%
22%
35–39.9%
14%
40-44.9%
12%
45%+
6%
30.0-34.9% 19.8%
25-29.9% 16%
20-24.9% 15.0%
35–39.9% 13.8%
नया
नया
10 जन, 2027
<20%
$2,404 वॉल्यूम
8%
20-24.9%
$1,331 वॉल्यूम
15%
25-29.9%
$1,286 वॉल्यूम
16%
30.0-34.9%
$809 वॉल्यूम
22%
35–39.9%
$780 वॉल्यूम
14%
40-44.9%
$884 वॉल्यूम
12%
45%+
$985 वॉल्यूम
6%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, have priced a fragmented consensus for Argentina's 2026 annual CPI inflation around 30%, with the 30.0-34.9% band leading at 22.1% implied probability amid closely contested outcomes. March 2026 consumer prices rose 3.4% month-over-month—highest this year and above 3.0% consensus—pushing year-to-date inflation to 9.4% and year-over-year to 32.6%, driven by regulated utilities and seasonal costs. This tempers disinflation expectations under President Milei's fiscal austerity, aligning with Reuters poll median of 30.0% and central bank survey at 29.1%, up from prior estimates due to oil shocks. Key swing factors include April CPI trajectory and sustained monetary tightening; deceleration below 2.5% monthly could favor sub-30% bands, while persistent pass-through risks elevate upper buckets.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,479समाप्ति तिथि
10 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, have priced a fragmented consensus for Argentina's 2026 annual CPI inflation around 30%, with the 30.0-34.9% band leading at 22.1% implied probability amid closely contested outcomes. March 2026 consumer prices rose 3.4% month-over-month—highest this year and above 3.0% consensus—pushing year-to-date inflation to 9.4% and year-over-year to 32.6%, driven by regulated utilities and seasonal costs. This tempers disinflation expectations under President Milei's fiscal austerity, aligning with Reuters poll median of 30.0% and central bank survey at 29.1%, up from prior estimates due to oil shocks. Key swing factors include April CPI trajectory and sustained monetary tightening; deceleration below 2.5% monthly could favor sub-30% bands, while persistent pass-through risks elevate upper buckets.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
वॉल्यूम
$8,479समाप्ति तिथि
10 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, have priced a fragmented consensus for Argentina's 2026 annual CPI inflation around 30%, with the 30.0-34.9% band leading at 22.1% implied probability amid closely contested outcomes. March 2026 consumer prices rose 3.4% month-over-month—highest this year and above 3.0% consensus—pushing year-to-date inflation to 9.4% and year-over-year to 32.6%, driven by regulated utilities and seasonal costs. This tempers disinflation expectations under President Milei's fiscal austerity, aligning with Reuters poll median of 30.0% and central bank survey at 29.1%, up from prior estimates due to oil shocks. Key swing factors include April CPI trajectory and sustained monetary tightening; deceleration below 2.5% monthly could favor sub-30% bands, while persistent pass-through risks elevate upper buckets.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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