Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 97% implied probability against NYMEX WTI crude oil futures (CL) active month daily high exceeding the $147.27 all-time high threshold by April 30, 2026, reflecting front-month contracts trading near $100 per barrel as of April 16—over 47% below the 2008 peak—amid a recent pullback from Q1 spikes driven by Middle East tensions, U.S.-Iran standoffs, and Russian sanctions boosting U.S. exports. EIA forecasts average Brent at $96/bbl for 2026, with refining margins normalizing and global supply steady, cementing this near-certain positioning despite elevated volatility. Tail risks include Strait of Hormuz closure or major supply disruptions from escalated conflict, potentially catalyzing a rapid surge.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 अप्रैल तक कच्चा तेल सर्वकालिक उच्च स्तर पर पहुंच जाएगा?
30 अप्रैल तक कच्चा तेल सर्वकालिक उच्च स्तर पर पहुंच जाएगा?
हाँ
$252,961 वॉल्यूम
$252,961 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
हाँ
$252,961 वॉल्यूम
$252,961 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 97% implied probability against NYMEX WTI crude oil futures (CL) active month daily high exceeding the $147.27 all-time high threshold by April 30, 2026, reflecting front-month contracts trading near $100 per barrel as of April 16—over 47% below the 2008 peak—amid a recent pullback from Q1 spikes driven by Middle East tensions, U.S.-Iran standoffs, and Russian sanctions boosting U.S. exports. EIA forecasts average Brent at $96/bbl for 2026, with refining margins normalizing and global supply steady, cementing this near-certain positioning despite elevated volatility. Tail risks include Strait of Hormuz closure or major supply disruptions from escalated conflict, potentially catalyzing a rapid surge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$252,961समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 97% implied probability against NYMEX WTI crude oil futures (CL) active month daily high exceeding the $147.27 all-time high threshold by April 30, 2026, reflecting front-month contracts trading near $100 per barrel as of April 16—over 47% below the 2008 peak—amid a recent pullback from Q1 spikes driven by Middle East tensions, U.S.-Iran standoffs, and Russian sanctions boosting U.S. exports. EIA forecasts average Brent at $96/bbl for 2026, with refining margins normalizing and global supply steady, cementing this near-certain positioning despite elevated volatility. Tail risks include Strait of Hormuz closure or major supply disruptions from escalated conflict, potentially catalyzing a rapid surge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
वॉल्यूम
$252,961समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 97% implied probability against NYMEX WTI crude oil futures (CL) active month daily high exceeding the $147.27 all-time high threshold by April 30, 2026, reflecting front-month contracts trading near $100 per barrel as of April 16—over 47% below the 2008 peak—amid a recent pullback from Q1 spikes driven by Middle East tensions, U.S.-Iran standoffs, and Russian sanctions boosting U.S. exports. EIA forecasts average Brent at $96/bbl for 2026, with refining margins normalizing and global supply steady, cementing this near-certain positioning despite elevated volatility. Tail risks include Strait of Hormuz closure or major supply disruptions from escalated conflict, potentially catalyzing a rapid surge.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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