Amid the ongoing US-Iran war that began with US and Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, trader consensus reflects heightened risks of further Iranian military action following the US naval blockade of Iranian ports announced on April 13. Tehran has rejected ceasefire proposals, issued threats to retaliate against US forces, Gulf ports including Saudi Arabia and UAE facilities, and shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, while state media warns of imminent American strikes on Tehran. Failed Pakistan-mediated talks and President Trump's repeated ultimatums to target Iranian power plants and bridges underscore escalation signals, with Iranian-backed militias in Iraq and Yemen maintaining proxy attacks. Upcoming US carrier deployments and potential ground operations could prompt direct Iranian ballistic missile or drone responses by April 30.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 अप्रैल तक ईरान किसके खिलाफ सैन्य कार्रवाई करेगा?
30 अप्रैल तक ईरान किसके खिलाफ सैन्य कार्रवाई करेगा?
$464,214 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
रुवैस रिफाइनरी
25%
हबशन फील्ड/प्रोसेसिंग कॉम्प्लेक्स
23%
रास लाफान इंडस्ट्रियल सिटी
22%
रास तनुरा
19%
खुरैस फील्ड
19%
अल ज़ौर रिफाइनरी
13%
अब्कैक तेल प्रसंस्करण सुविधा
11%
सफानिया क्षेत्र
10%
ग्वार क्षेत्र
10%
लेविथान फील्ड
8%
बुर्ज खलीफा
3%
डिमोना (शिमोन पेरेस नेगेव परमाणु अनुसंधान केंद्र)
1%
$464,214 वॉल्यूम
रुवैस रिफाइनरी
$39,648 वॉल्यूम
25%
हबशन फील्ड/प्रोसेसिंग कॉम्प्लेक्स
$46,277 वॉल्यूम
23%
रास लाफान इंडस्ट्रियल सिटी
$35,857 वॉल्यूम
22%
रास तनुरा
$37,991 वॉल्यूम
19%
खुरैस फील्ड
$14,786 वॉल्यूम
19%
अल ज़ौर रिफाइनरी
$30,213 वॉल्यूम
13%
अब्कैक तेल प्रसंस्करण सुविधा
$38,341 वॉल्यूम
11%
सफानिया क्षेत्र
$11,512 वॉल्यूम
10%
ग्वार क्षेत्र
$12,229 वॉल्यूम
10%
लेविथान फील्ड
$7,662 वॉल्यूम
8%
बुर्ज खलीफा
$8,228 वॉल्यूम
3%
डिमोना (शिमोन पेरेस नेगेव परमाणु अनुसंधान केंद्र)
$78,280 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.Amid the ongoing US-Iran war that began with US and Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, trader consensus reflects heightened risks of further Iranian military action following the US naval blockade of Iranian ports announced on April 13. Tehran has rejected ceasefire proposals, issued threats to retaliate against US forces, Gulf ports including Saudi Arabia and UAE facilities, and shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, while state media warns of imminent American strikes on Tehran. Failed Pakistan-mediated talks and President Trump's repeated ultimatums to target Iranian power plants and bridges underscore escalation signals, with Iranian-backed militias in Iraq and Yemen maintaining proxy attacks. Upcoming US carrier deployments and potential ground operations could prompt direct Iranian ballistic missile or drone responses by April 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 23, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$464,214समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 23, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.Amid the ongoing US-Iran war that began with US and Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, trader consensus reflects heightened risks of further Iranian military action following the US naval blockade of Iranian ports announced on April 13. Tehran has rejected ceasefire proposals, issued threats to retaliate against US forces, Gulf ports including Saudi Arabia and UAE facilities, and shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, while state media warns of imminent American strikes on Tehran. Failed Pakistan-mediated talks and President Trump's repeated ultimatums to target Iranian power plants and bridges underscore escalation signals, with Iranian-backed militias in Iraq and Yemen maintaining proxy attacks. Upcoming US carrier deployments and potential ground operations could prompt direct Iranian ballistic missile or drone responses by April 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
वॉल्यूम
$464,214समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 23, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid the ongoing US-Iran war that began with US and Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, trader consensus reflects heightened risks of further Iranian military action following the US naval blockade of Iranian ports announced on April 13. Tehran has rejected ceasefire proposals, issued threats to retaliate against US forces, Gulf ports including Saudi Arabia and UAE facilities, and shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, while state media warns of imminent American strikes on Tehran. Failed Pakistan-mediated talks and President Trump's repeated ultimatums to target Iranian power plants and bridges underscore escalation signals, with Iranian-backed militias in Iraq and Yemen maintaining proxy attacks. Upcoming US carrier deployments and potential ground operations could prompt direct Iranian ballistic missile or drone responses by April 30.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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