Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF place Austin's April 17 high temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s, driving trader consensus toward the closely matched 90-91°F (31.5%) and 88-89°F (28.0%) outcomes amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light southerly winds. Differentiating factors include model spread—GFS runs trending slightly hotter with stronger boundary layer mixing, while ECMWF favors marginally cooler peaks due to potential afternoon cumulus clouds—against a climatological April average high of around 80°F. Recent Central Texas warmth, with yesterday's high near 86°F, supports above-normal expectations, though inherent short-term uncertainty in peak heating timing persists; watch this evening's 00Z model updates for shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Austin on April 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 17?
90-91°F 36%
88-89°F 29%
86-87°F 17%
92-93°F 10%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
36%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 36%
88-89°F 29%
86-87°F 17%
92-93°F 10%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
36%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF place Austin's April 17 high temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s, driving trader consensus toward the closely matched 90-91°F (31.5%) and 88-89°F (28.0%) outcomes amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light southerly winds. Differentiating factors include model spread—GFS runs trending slightly hotter with stronger boundary layer mixing, while ECMWF favors marginally cooler peaks due to potential afternoon cumulus clouds—against a climatological April average high of around 80°F. Recent Central Texas warmth, with yesterday's high near 86°F, supports above-normal expectations, though inherent short-term uncertainty in peak heating timing persists; watch this evening's 00Z model updates for shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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