Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 59% implied probability for Madrid's highest temperature reaching 26°C today at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution station, driven by AEMET's latest guidance projecting a 25°C maximum under a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing high clouds, light northeast winds at 10 km/h, and no precipitation risk. Yesterday's observed peak of 24.6°C at Barajas reflects ongoing warm air advection from the south, with global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing slight bullish divergence toward 26-27°C via enhanced afternoon insolation on this clear-skied April day—well above the 19°C climatological average. Hourly observations from AEMET, peaking around 3-5 PM local time, will refine this low-uncertainty outlook amid minimal model spread.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अप्रैल को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
16 अप्रैल को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
26°C 54%
27°C 26%
25°C 18%
24°C 4.3%
नया
$47,793 वॉल्यूम
नया
$47,793 वॉल्यूम
16 अप्रैल, 2026
20°C या उससे कम
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
18%
26°C
54%
27°C
26%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
26°C 54%
27°C 26%
25°C 18%
24°C 4.3%
नया
$47,793 वॉल्यूम
नया
$47,793 वॉल्यूम
16 अप्रैल, 2026
20°C या उससे कम
$3,911 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$2,577 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$4,827 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$5,483 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$9,848 वॉल्यूम
4%
25°C
$5,204 वॉल्यूम
18%
26°C
$4,200 वॉल्यूम
54%
27°C
$3,848 वॉल्यूम
26%
28°C
$3,021 वॉल्यूम
1%
29°C
$3,725 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C या उससे अधिक
$2,832 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 59% implied probability for Madrid's highest temperature reaching 26°C today at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution station, driven by AEMET's latest guidance projecting a 25°C maximum under a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing high clouds, light northeast winds at 10 km/h, and no precipitation risk. Yesterday's observed peak of 24.6°C at Barajas reflects ongoing warm air advection from the south, with global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing slight bullish divergence toward 26-27°C via enhanced afternoon insolation on this clear-skied April day—well above the 19°C climatological average. Hourly observations from AEMET, peaking around 3-5 PM local time, will refine this low-uncertainty outlook amid minimal model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 14, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$47,793समाप्ति तिथि
16 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 59% implied probability for Madrid's highest temperature reaching 26°C today at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution station, driven by AEMET's latest guidance projecting a 25°C maximum under a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing high clouds, light northeast winds at 10 km/h, and no precipitation risk. Yesterday's observed peak of 24.6°C at Barajas reflects ongoing warm air advection from the south, with global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing slight bullish divergence toward 26-27°C via enhanced afternoon insolation on this clear-skied April day—well above the 19°C climatological average. Hourly observations from AEMET, peaking around 3-5 PM local time, will refine this low-uncertainty outlook amid minimal model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$47,793समाप्ति तिथि
16 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 59% implied probability for Madrid's highest temperature reaching 26°C today at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution station, driven by AEMET's latest guidance projecting a 25°C maximum under a persistent high-pressure ridge bringing high clouds, light northeast winds at 10 km/h, and no precipitation risk. Yesterday's observed peak of 24.6°C at Barajas reflects ongoing warm air advection from the south, with global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing slight bullish divergence toward 26-27°C via enhanced afternoon insolation on this clear-skied April day—well above the 19°C climatological average. Hourly observations from AEMET, peaking around 3-5 PM local time, will refine this low-uncertainty outlook amid minimal model spread.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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