PAGASA's official forecast for Metro Manila on August 6, 2026, calls for a daily maximum of 29°C under southwest monsoon conditions, which has anchored the 88.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and scattered to moderate rains from the enhanced monsoon flow limit solar insolation and surface heating, keeping daytime peaks below the seasonal climatological average near 31°C. Recent model guidance and observational trends show no significant breaks in the overcast pattern that would allow stronger afternoon heating or a push toward 30–31°C thresholds. Traders appear to weight the agency forecast and real-time moisture indicators heavily, with only marginal probabilities assigned to outliers given the short remaining window for any last-minute shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
6 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
29°C 98%
30°C 2%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$28,198 वॉल्यूम
$28,198 वॉल्यूम
6 अग, 2026
25°C या उससे कम
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
98%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
29°C 98%
30°C 2%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$28,198 वॉल्यूम
$28,198 वॉल्यूम
6 अग, 2026
25°C या उससे कम
$541 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$313 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$1,775 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$6,426 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$8,065 वॉल्यूम
98%
30°C
$2,733 वॉल्यूम
2%
31°C
$2,576 वॉल्यूम
1%
32°C
$2,381 वॉल्यूम
<1%
33°C
$1,889 वॉल्यूम
<1%
34°C
$669 वॉल्यूम
<1%
35°C या उससे अधिक
$832 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's official forecast for Metro Manila on August 6, 2026, calls for a daily maximum of 29°C under southwest monsoon conditions, which has anchored the 88.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and scattered to moderate rains from the enhanced monsoon flow limit solar insolation and surface heating, keeping daytime peaks below the seasonal climatological average near 31°C. Recent model guidance and observational trends show no significant breaks in the overcast pattern that would allow stronger afternoon heating or a push toward 30–31°C thresholds. Traders appear to weight the agency forecast and real-time moisture indicators heavily, with only marginal probabilities assigned to outliers given the short remaining window for any last-minute shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,198समाप्ति तिथि
6 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's official forecast for Metro Manila on August 6, 2026, calls for a daily maximum of 29°C under southwest monsoon conditions, which has anchored the 88.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and scattered to moderate rains from the enhanced monsoon flow limit solar insolation and surface heating, keeping daytime peaks below the seasonal climatological average near 31°C. Recent model guidance and observational trends show no significant breaks in the overcast pattern that would allow stronger afternoon heating or a push toward 30–31°C thresholds. Traders appear to weight the agency forecast and real-time moisture indicators heavily, with only marginal probabilities assigned to outliers given the short remaining window for any last-minute shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$28,198समाप्ति तिथि
6 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's official forecast for Metro Manila on August 6, 2026, calls for a daily maximum of 29°C under southwest monsoon conditions, which has anchored the 88.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and scattered to moderate rains from the enhanced monsoon flow limit solar insolation and surface heating, keeping daytime peaks below the seasonal climatological average near 31°C. Recent model guidance and observational trends show no significant breaks in the overcast pattern that would allow stronger afternoon heating or a push toward 30–31°C thresholds. Traders appear to weight the agency forecast and real-time moisture indicators heavily, with only marginal probabilities assigned to outliers given the short remaining window for any last-minute shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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