Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 20°C and 21°C at 28.5% implied probabilities each for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting tight clustering in the latest China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 20-21°C amid partly cloudy skies and mild southerly flow. This positioning stems from yesterday's model updates showing consistent above-normal spring conditions following a brief early-April cool spell, with reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar insolation but light sea breezes potentially capping peaks via coastal mixing. Key differentiators include subtle variations in afternoon boundary layer development and urban heat island amplification at the official Pudong station; new 12z runs today could refine the edge before resolution tomorrow evening. Historical mid-April averages hover near 20°C, underscoring the razor-thin uncertainty in exact integer outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 अप्रैल को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
17 अप्रैल को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
20°C 33%
21°C 32%
19°C 16%
22°C 14.5%
नया
$40,200 वॉल्यूम
नया
$40,200 वॉल्यूम
17 अप्रैल, 2026
13°C या उससे कम
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
16%
20°C
33%
21°C
32%
22°C
14%
23°C या उससे अधिक
3%
20°C 33%
21°C 32%
19°C 16%
22°C 14.5%
नया
$40,200 वॉल्यूम
नया
$40,200 वॉल्यूम
17 अप्रैल, 2026
13°C या उससे कम
$4,063 वॉल्यूम
<1%
14°C
$3,022 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C
$8,084 वॉल्यूम
<1%
16°C
$4,530 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C
$2,864 वॉल्यूम
1%
18°C
$4,717 वॉल्यूम
2%
19°C
$2,317 वॉल्यूम
16%
20°C
$2,510 वॉल्यूम
33%
21°C
$2,056 वॉल्यूम
32%
22°C
$2,661 वॉल्यूम
14%
23°C या उससे अधिक
$3,599 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 20°C and 21°C at 28.5% implied probabilities each for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting tight clustering in the latest China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 20-21°C amid partly cloudy skies and mild southerly flow. This positioning stems from yesterday's model updates showing consistent above-normal spring conditions following a brief early-April cool spell, with reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar insolation but light sea breezes potentially capping peaks via coastal mixing. Key differentiators include subtle variations in afternoon boundary layer development and urban heat island amplification at the official Pudong station; new 12z runs today could refine the edge before resolution tomorrow evening. Historical mid-April averages hover near 20°C, underscoring the razor-thin uncertainty in exact integer outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$40,200समाप्ति तिथि
17 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 20°C and 21°C at 28.5% implied probabilities each for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting tight clustering in the latest China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 20-21°C amid partly cloudy skies and mild southerly flow. This positioning stems from yesterday's model updates showing consistent above-normal spring conditions following a brief early-April cool spell, with reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar insolation but light sea breezes potentially capping peaks via coastal mixing. Key differentiators include subtle variations in afternoon boundary layer development and urban heat island amplification at the official Pudong station; new 12z runs today could refine the edge before resolution tomorrow evening. Historical mid-April averages hover near 20°C, underscoring the razor-thin uncertainty in exact integer outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$40,200समाप्ति तिथि
17 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 20°C and 21°C at 28.5% implied probabilities each for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting tight clustering in the latest China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs of 20-21°C amid partly cloudy skies and mild southerly flow. This positioning stems from yesterday's model updates showing consistent above-normal spring conditions following a brief early-April cool spell, with reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar insolation but light sea breezes potentially capping peaks via coastal mixing. Key differentiators include subtle variations in afternoon boundary layer development and urban heat island amplification at the official Pudong station; new 12z runs today could refine the edge before resolution tomorrow evening. Historical mid-April averages hover near 20°C, underscoring the razor-thin uncertainty in exact integer outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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