March 2026 CPI inflation accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—driven by a 10.9% surge in energy prices amid escalating geopolitical tensions, including the Iran conflict, pushing Polymarket traders to price a 91% implied probability of peak 2026 inflation exceeding 3.5% and 52% above 4%. Core CPI rose to 3.7%, while February PCE held at 2.8%, highlighting headline volatility from oil shocks. The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate at 3.5–3.75% in March, with FOMC minutes signaling openness to hikes if pressures persist. Traders eye the April 28–29 FOMC meeting and May 12 CPI release for signals on policy response and inflation trajectory.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में मुद्रास्फीति कितनी ऊंची होगी?
2026 में मुद्रास्फीति कितनी ऊंची होगी?
$604,112 वॉल्यूम
3.5% से अधिक
91%
4% से अधिक
52%
5% से ऊपर
21%
6% से अधिक
15%
8% से ऊपर
8%
10% से अधिक
5%
$604,112 वॉल्यूम
3.5% से अधिक
91%
4% से अधिक
52%
5% से ऊपर
21%
6% से अधिक
15%
8% से ऊपर
8%
10% से अधिक
5%
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 13, 2025, 4:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...March 2026 CPI inflation accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—driven by a 10.9% surge in energy prices amid escalating geopolitical tensions, including the Iran conflict, pushing Polymarket traders to price a 91% implied probability of peak 2026 inflation exceeding 3.5% and 52% above 4%. Core CPI rose to 3.7%, while February PCE held at 2.8%, highlighting headline volatility from oil shocks. The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate at 3.5–3.75% in March, with FOMC minutes signaling openness to hikes if pressures persist. Traders eye the April 28–29 FOMC meeting and May 12 CPI release for signals on policy response and inflation trajectory.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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