Trader consensus on the Khamenei (@khamenei_ir) X posts market for April 10–17 heavily favors under 5 posts at 71%, reflecting the account's sparse activity since Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination on February 28, 2026, in US-Israeli strikes. Managed by his office, it shares infrequent archival statements—only one post so far this period, on April 13 quoting a 1995 remark on Prophet Jesus—amid no major diplomatic or military developments in the past week to prompt more. Earlier April saw clustered posts around the April 9 Arbaeen mourning observance, but the pattern has quieted, pricing higher ranges like 5–9 at 27% as low-likelihood outliers with one day left before resolution at 12:00 PM ET April 17.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाKhamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?
Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?
<5 71%
5-9 10%
10-14 5.9%
15-19 5%
नया
नया
17 अप्रैल, 2026
<5
71%
5-9
27%
10-14
19%
15-19
5%
20-24
4%
25-29
1%
30-34
3%
35-39
3%
40-44
3%
45-49
<1%
50-54
3%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 71%
5-9 10%
10-14 5.9%
15-19 5%
नया
नया
17 अप्रैल, 2026
<5
$921 वॉल्यूम
71%
5-9
$163 वॉल्यूम
27%
10-14
$230 वॉल्यूम
19%
15-19
$320 वॉल्यूम
5%
20-24
$271 वॉल्यूम
4%
25-29
$376 वॉल्यूम
1%
30-34
$469 वॉल्यूम
3%
35-39
$362 वॉल्यूम
3%
40-44
$464 वॉल्यूम
3%
45-49
$545 वॉल्यूम
<1%
50-54
$651 वॉल्यूम
3%
55-59
$648 वॉल्यूम
<1%
60+
$1,135 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on the Khamenei (@khamenei_ir) X posts market for April 10–17 heavily favors under 5 posts at 71%, reflecting the account's sparse activity since Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination on February 28, 2026, in US-Israeli strikes. Managed by his office, it shares infrequent archival statements—only one post so far this period, on April 13 quoting a 1995 remark on Prophet Jesus—amid no major diplomatic or military developments in the past week to prompt more. Earlier April saw clustered posts around the April 9 Arbaeen mourning observance, but the pattern has quieted, pricing higher ranges like 5–9 at 27% as low-likelihood outliers with one day left before resolution at 12:00 PM ET April 17.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,555समाप्ति तिथि
17 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on the Khamenei (@khamenei_ir) X posts market for April 10–17 heavily favors under 5 posts at 71%, reflecting the account's sparse activity since Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination on February 28, 2026, in US-Israeli strikes. Managed by his office, it shares infrequent archival statements—only one post so far this period, on April 13 quoting a 1995 remark on Prophet Jesus—amid no major diplomatic or military developments in the past week to prompt more. Earlier April saw clustered posts around the April 9 Arbaeen mourning observance, but the pattern has quieted, pricing higher ranges like 5–9 at 27% as low-likelihood outliers with one day left before resolution at 12:00 PM ET April 17.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$6,555समाप्ति तिथि
17 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Khamenei (@khamenei_ir) X posts market for April 10–17 heavily favors under 5 posts at 71%, reflecting the account's sparse activity since Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's assassination on February 28, 2026, in US-Israeli strikes. Managed by his office, it shares infrequent archival statements—only one post so far this period, on April 13 quoting a 1995 remark on Prophet Jesus—amid no major diplomatic or military developments in the past week to prompt more. Earlier April saw clustered posts around the April 9 Arbaeen mourning observance, but the pattern has quieted, pricing higher ranges like 5–9 at 27% as low-likelihood outliers with one day left before resolution at 12:00 PM ET April 17.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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