Amid the 2026 US-Israel-Iran war, sparked by American and Israeli airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites and military infrastructure in mid-March, Tehran has retaliated with missile and drone barrages targeting Gulf energy facilities, including Saudi Arabia's Abqaiq oil processing plant and UAE refineries. A fragile US-brokered ceasefire took hold on April 7, yet sporadic attacks persisted, with Gulf states intercepting projectiles on April 8 and a drone exploding over northern Israel on April 14. Satellite imagery that day revealed Iran excavating to retrieve trapped missile launchers underground. US naval restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz signal blockade risks, while Pakistan-mediated peace talks loom as potential de-escalators before April 30.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 अप्रैल तक ईरान किसके खिलाफ सैन्य कार्रवाई करेगा?
30 अप्रैल तक ईरान किसके खिलाफ सैन्य कार्रवाई करेगा?
$464,214 वॉल्यूम
रुवैस रिफाइनरी
25%
रास लाफान इंडस्ट्रियल सिटी
22%
रास तनुरा
19%
खुरैस फील्ड
19%
हबशन फील्ड/प्रोसेसिंग कॉम्प्लेक्स
14%
अल ज़ौर रिफाइनरी
13%
अब्कैक तेल प्रसंस्करण सुविधा
11%
ग्वार क्षेत्र
11%
सफानिया क्षेत्र
10%
लेविथान फील्ड
8%
बुर्ज खलीफा
3%
डिमोना (शिमोन पेरेस नेगेव परमाणु अनुसंधान केंद्र)
2%
$464,214 वॉल्यूम
रुवैस रिफाइनरी
25%
रास लाफान इंडस्ट्रियल सिटी
22%
रास तनुरा
19%
खुरैस फील्ड
19%
हबशन फील्ड/प्रोसेसिंग कॉम्प्लेक्स
14%
अल ज़ौर रिफाइनरी
13%
अब्कैक तेल प्रसंस्करण सुविधा
11%
ग्वार क्षेत्र
11%
सफानिया क्षेत्र
10%
लेविथान फील्ड
8%
बुर्ज खलीफा
3%
डिमोना (शिमोन पेरेस नेगेव परमाणु अनुसंधान केंद्र)
2%
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 23, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Amid the 2026 US-Israel-Iran war, sparked by American and Israeli airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites and military infrastructure in mid-March, Tehran has retaliated with missile and drone barrages targeting Gulf energy facilities, including Saudi Arabia's Abqaiq oil processing plant and UAE refineries. A fragile US-brokered ceasefire took hold on April 7, yet sporadic attacks persisted, with Gulf states intercepting projectiles on April 8 and a drone exploding over northern Israel on April 14. Satellite imagery that day revealed Iran excavating to retrieve trapped missile launchers underground. US naval restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz signal blockade risks, while Pakistan-mediated peace talks loom as potential de-escalators before April 30.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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