A fragile US-Iran ceasefire announced on April 8, 2026, following nearly six weeks of intense conflict sparked by US-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military, nuclear, and leadership targets starting February 28, anchors current trader sentiment amid the ongoing 2026 Iran war. The US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz persists, halting Iranian maritime trade and prompting Tehran's warnings of retaliatory strikes on Gulf ports, energy infrastructure, and potential Red Sea closure if unrelieved. Israel continues airstrikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon—excluded from the truce—while Iranian-backed militias launch drone attacks on regional US assets. Pakistan proposed renewed US-Iran talks on April 14 as the two-week ceasefire nears expiration around April 21, heightening uncertainty over direct Iranian escalation before April 30.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 अप्रैल तक ईरान किसके खिलाफ सैन्य कार्रवाई करेगा?
30 अप्रैल तक ईरान किसके खिलाफ सैन्य कार्रवाई करेगा?
$463,166 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
रास लाफान इंडस्ट्रियल सिटी
26%
रुवैस रिफाइनरी
24%
हबशन फील्ड/प्रोसेसिंग कॉम्प्लेक्स
22%
खुरैस फील्ड
20%
रास तनुरा
19%
ग्वार क्षेत्र
16%
अब्कैक तेल प्रसंस्करण सुविधा
15%
अल ज़ौर रिफाइनरी
13%
सफानिया क्षेत्र
11%
लेविथान फील्ड
8%
बुर्ज खलीफा
5%
डिमोना (शिमोन पेरेस नेगेव परमाणु अनुसंधान केंद्र)
3%
$463,166 वॉल्यूम
रास लाफान इंडस्ट्रियल सिटी
$35,772 वॉल्यूम
26%
रुवैस रिफाइनरी
$39,640 वॉल्यूम
24%
हबशन फील्ड/प्रोसेसिंग कॉम्प्लेक्स
$46,276 वॉल्यूम
22%
खुरैस फील्ड
$14,779 वॉल्यूम
20%
रास तनुरा
$37,991 वॉल्यूम
19%
ग्वार क्षेत्र
$12,204 वॉल्यूम
16%
अब्कैक तेल प्रसंस्करण सुविधा
$38,125 वॉल्यूम
15%
अल ज़ौर रिफाइनरी
$30,213 वॉल्यूम
13%
सफानिया क्षेत्र
$11,485 वॉल्यूम
11%
लेविथान फील्ड
$7,662 वॉल्यूम
8%
बुर्ज खलीफा
$7,930 वॉल्यूम
5%
डिमोना (शिमोन पेरेस नेगेव परमाणु अनुसंधान केंद्र)
$77,899 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.A fragile US-Iran ceasefire announced on April 8, 2026, following nearly six weeks of intense conflict sparked by US-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military, nuclear, and leadership targets starting February 28, anchors current trader sentiment amid the ongoing 2026 Iran war. The US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz persists, halting Iranian maritime trade and prompting Tehran's warnings of retaliatory strikes on Gulf ports, energy infrastructure, and potential Red Sea closure if unrelieved. Israel continues airstrikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon—excluded from the truce—while Iranian-backed militias launch drone attacks on regional US assets. Pakistan proposed renewed US-Iran talks on April 14 as the two-week ceasefire nears expiration around April 21, heightening uncertainty over direct Iranian escalation before April 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 23, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$463,166समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 23, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.A fragile US-Iran ceasefire announced on April 8, 2026, following nearly six weeks of intense conflict sparked by US-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military, nuclear, and leadership targets starting February 28, anchors current trader sentiment amid the ongoing 2026 Iran war. The US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz persists, halting Iranian maritime trade and prompting Tehran's warnings of retaliatory strikes on Gulf ports, energy infrastructure, and potential Red Sea closure if unrelieved. Israel continues airstrikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon—excluded from the truce—while Iranian-backed militias launch drone attacks on regional US assets. Pakistan proposed renewed US-Iran talks on April 14 as the two-week ceasefire nears expiration around April 21, heightening uncertainty over direct Iranian escalation before April 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility will be considered. Missile and drone strikes that are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
वॉल्यूम
$463,166समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 23, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A fragile US-Iran ceasefire announced on April 8, 2026, following nearly six weeks of intense conflict sparked by US-Israeli airstrikes on Iranian military, nuclear, and leadership targets starting February 28, anchors current trader sentiment amid the ongoing 2026 Iran war. The US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz persists, halting Iranian maritime trade and prompting Tehran's warnings of retaliatory strikes on Gulf ports, energy infrastructure, and potential Red Sea closure if unrelieved. Israel continues airstrikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon—excluded from the truce—while Iranian-backed militias launch drone attacks on regional US assets. Pakistan proposed renewed US-Iran talks on April 14 as the two-week ceasefire nears expiration around April 21, heightening uncertainty over direct Iranian escalation before April 30.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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