Trader consensus at 95.9% for "No" reflects Europe’s longstanding diplomatic posture toward Iran, with France, the UK, and Germany limiting involvement in the ongoing US-Israel-Iran war to defensive measures like securing the Strait of Hormuz via naval deployments and joint statements condemning Iranian attacks without endorsing offensive strikes. Since the conflict erupted on February 28, 2026, the E3 nations have urged nuclear negotiations and de-escalation, granting limited US base access (e.g., UK’s Diego Garcia) but rejecting broader military entanglement amid domestic opposition and energy security concerns. Recent April developments, including symbolic Hormuz missions and refusals to join US blockades, reinforce this restraint. Scenarios shifting odds include direct Iranian strikes on European assets or a total Hormuz closure prompting retaliation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या फ्रांस, ब्रिटेन या जर्मनी 30 जून तक ईरान पर हमला करेंगे?
क्या फ्रांस, ब्रिटेन या जर्मनी 30 जून तक ईरान पर हमला करेंगे?
हाँ
$735,009 वॉल्यूम
$735,009 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
हाँ
$735,009 वॉल्यूम
$735,009 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus at 95.9% for "No" reflects Europe’s longstanding diplomatic posture toward Iran, with France, the UK, and Germany limiting involvement in the ongoing US-Israel-Iran war to defensive measures like securing the Strait of Hormuz via naval deployments and joint statements condemning Iranian attacks without endorsing offensive strikes. Since the conflict erupted on February 28, 2026, the E3 nations have urged nuclear negotiations and de-escalation, granting limited US base access (e.g., UK’s Diego Garcia) but rejecting broader military entanglement amid domestic opposition and energy security concerns. Recent April developments, including symbolic Hormuz missions and refusals to join US blockades, reinforce this restraint. Scenarios shifting odds include direct Iranian strikes on European assets or a total Hormuz closure prompting retaliation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$735,009समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus at 95.9% for "No" reflects Europe’s longstanding diplomatic posture toward Iran, with France, the UK, and Germany limiting involvement in the ongoing US-Israel-Iran war to defensive measures like securing the Strait of Hormuz via naval deployments and joint statements condemning Iranian attacks without endorsing offensive strikes. Since the conflict erupted on February 28, 2026, the E3 nations have urged nuclear negotiations and de-escalation, granting limited US base access (e.g., UK’s Diego Garcia) but rejecting broader military entanglement amid domestic opposition and energy security concerns. Recent April developments, including symbolic Hormuz missions and refusals to join US blockades, reinforce this restraint. Scenarios shifting odds include direct Iranian strikes on European assets or a total Hormuz closure prompting retaliation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France, the United Kingdom, or Germany initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by French, United Kingdom, or German military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a French, United Kingdom, or German missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by French, United Kingdom, or German ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$735,009समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus at 95.9% for "No" reflects Europe’s longstanding diplomatic posture toward Iran, with France, the UK, and Germany limiting involvement in the ongoing US-Israel-Iran war to defensive measures like securing the Strait of Hormuz via naval deployments and joint statements condemning Iranian attacks without endorsing offensive strikes. Since the conflict erupted on February 28, 2026, the E3 nations have urged nuclear negotiations and de-escalation, granting limited US base access (e.g., UK’s Diego Garcia) but rejecting broader military entanglement amid domestic opposition and energy security concerns. Recent April developments, including symbolic Hormuz missions and refusals to join US blockades, reinforce this restraint. Scenarios shifting odds include direct Iranian strikes on European assets or a total Hormuz closure prompting retaliation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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