Recent Democratic efforts to impeach President Trump, including Rep. John Larson's April 7 articles of impeachment and a companion 25th Amendment push over his escalatory threats against Iran following U.S. strikes on nuclear sites, have fueled trader sentiment. Though Republicans hold the House, requiring only a simple majority for articles to pass, markets reflect 69% implied probability for Yes as traders anticipate Democrats potentially regaining control in the November 2026 midterms—echoing Trump's two prior impeachments. Ongoing congressional briefings by figures like Rep. Jamie Raskin and rising geopolitical tensions underscore the political risks shaping this wisdom-of-crowds consensus through January 2029.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$52,620 वॉल्यूम
$52,620 वॉल्यूम
20 जन, 2029
हाँ
$52,620 वॉल्यूम
$52,620 वॉल्यूम
20 जन, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent Democratic efforts to impeach President Trump, including Rep. John Larson's April 7 articles of impeachment and a companion 25th Amendment push over his escalatory threats against Iran following U.S. strikes on nuclear sites, have fueled trader sentiment. Though Republicans hold the House, requiring only a simple majority for articles to pass, markets reflect 69% implied probability for Yes as traders anticipate Democrats potentially regaining control in the November 2026 midterms—echoing Trump's two prior impeachments. Ongoing congressional briefings by figures like Rep. Jamie Raskin and rising geopolitical tensions underscore the political risks shaping this wisdom-of-crowds consensus through January 2029.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$52,620समाप्ति तिथि
20 जन, 2029बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent Democratic efforts to impeach President Trump, including Rep. John Larson's April 7 articles of impeachment and a companion 25th Amendment push over his escalatory threats against Iran following U.S. strikes on nuclear sites, have fueled trader sentiment. Though Republicans hold the House, requiring only a simple majority for articles to pass, markets reflect 69% implied probability for Yes as traders anticipate Democrats potentially regaining control in the November 2026 midterms—echoing Trump's two prior impeachments. Ongoing congressional briefings by figures like Rep. Jamie Raskin and rising geopolitical tensions underscore the political risks shaping this wisdom-of-crowds consensus through January 2029.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
वॉल्यूम
$52,620समाप्ति तिथि
20 जन, 2029बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Democratic efforts to impeach President Trump, including Rep. John Larson's April 7 articles of impeachment and a companion 25th Amendment push over his escalatory threats against Iran following U.S. strikes on nuclear sites, have fueled trader sentiment. Though Republicans hold the House, requiring only a simple majority for articles to pass, markets reflect 69% implied probability for Yes as traders anticipate Democrats potentially regaining control in the November 2026 midterms—echoing Trump's two prior impeachments. Ongoing congressional briefings by figures like Rep. Jamie Raskin and rising geopolitical tensions underscore the political risks shaping this wisdom-of-crowds consensus through January 2029.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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