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Dunia·Kanada

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

icon for Canada's population Up or Down this year?
Dunia·Kanada

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Up

53% peluang
Polymarket
BARU

Up

53% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada’s population trajectory in 2026 hinges on federal immigration adjustments, with net outflows of non-permanent residents offsetting gains from permanent resident admissions and natural increase. Recent Statistics Canada quarterly estimates show a 0.2% decline in the first quarter of 2026, following policy measures under the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan that cap temporary residents and reduce targets for new arrivals. Projections from the Parliamentary Budget Office and Statistics Canada scenarios indicate flat or modestly negative annual growth through 2026, though actual outcomes depend on permit expirations, extensions, and conversion rates to permanent status. This balance keeps implied probabilities near even, with further data revisions or shifts in outflow pace capable of tipping the result either direction by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,538
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada’s population trajectory in 2026 hinges on federal immigration adjustments, with net outflows of non-permanent residents offsetting gains from permanent resident admissions and natural increase. Recent Statistics Canada quarterly estimates show a 0.2% decline in the first quarter of 2026, following policy measures under the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan that cap temporary residents and reduce targets for new arrivals. Projections from the Parliamentary Budget Office and Statistics Canada scenarios indicate flat or modestly negative annual growth through 2026, though actual outcomes depend on permit expirations, extensions, and conversion rates to permanent status. This balance keeps implied probabilities near even, with further data revisions or shifts in outflow pace capable of tipping the result either direction by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,538
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Canada's population Up or Down this year?" adalah prediction market harian di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham tentang apakah harga Canada's population Up or Down this year? akan berakhir lebih tinggi ("Up") atau lebih rendah ("Down") dari harga pembukaannya selama jendela harian yang ditentukan dalam judul. Probabilitas market saat ini adalah 51% untuk "Down." Harga 51% berarti market secara kolektif memberikan peluang 51% untuk hasil tersebut. Harga diperbarui secara real-time seiring trader bereaksi terhadap pergerakan harga live Canada's population Up or Down this year?. Saham pada hasil yang benar dapat ditukarkan seharga $1 per lembar saat market diselesaikan.

"Canada's population Up or Down this year?" adalah market jangka pendek aktif di Polymarket. Volume trading bisa terakumulasi cepat seiring jendela harian berjalan — masuk lebih awal untuk membantu menentukan odds sebelum jendela ini ditutup.

Untuk trading di "Canada's population Up or Down this year?," tentukan apakah kamu percaya harga Canada's population Up or Down this year? pada pukul 12 siang ET tanggal April 29 akan lebih tinggi ("Up") atau lebih rendah ("Down") dari harga Canada's population Up or Down this year? pada pukul 12 siang ET tanggal January 27. Beli "Up" jika kamu pikir harga akan naik dari hari ke hari, atau "Down" jika kamu pikir akan turun. Masukkan jumlahnya dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil yang kamu pilih benar saat penyelesaian, setiap saham bernilai $1.00. Jika salah, saham bernilai $0.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Canada's population Up or Down this year?" adalah 51% untuk "Down," artinya kerumunan Polymarket saat ini memberikan peluang 51% bahwa harga Canada's population Up or Down this year? akan berakhir down selama jendela harian ini. Odds ini diperbarui secara real-time seiring trader bereaksi terhadap data harga live Canada's population Up or Down this year?. Selama satu hari penuh, odds mencerminkan sentimen yang berkembang seiring aksi harga hari itu terungkap. Cek kembali secara berkala atau trading sekarang sebelum jendela ditutup.

Market "Canada's population Up or Down this year?" diselesaikan berdasarkan perbandingan harga Canada's population Up or Down this year? pada pukul 12 siang ET tanggal April 29 versus pukul 12 siang ET tanggal January 27, menggunakan harga penutupan candle 1 menit Binance CANADAS-POPULATION/USDT. Jika harga siang tanggal April 29 lebih tinggi, hasilnya "Up"; jika lebih rendah, "Down"; jika sama, market diselesaikan 50-50. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria penyelesaian lengkap dan sumber data di bagian "Rules" di halaman ini.