Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models position mid-90s highs as the most likely outcome for Houston on August 6, aligning with the market's strong emphasis on the 94–95 °F and 96–97 °F bins. Typical late-summer conditions featuring a weakening upper-level ridge, high humidity, and afternoon sea-breeze moderation support daily maxima near the long-term August average of 94 °F, with limited potential for stronger heating inland. Minor model spread and local variability around coastal zones introduce modest uncertainty, keeping a narrower range of 92–97 °F dominant in trader consensus while longer-range outlooks show no major pattern shifts before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on August 6?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 6?
94-95°F 54%
96-97°F 32%
92-93°F 13%
90-91°F 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 6, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
13%
94-95°F
54%
96-97°F
32%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 54%
96-97°F 32%
92-93°F 13%
90-91°F 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 6, 2026
85°F or below
$116 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$209 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$153 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$296 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$381 Vol.
13%
94-95°F
$851 Vol.
54%
96-97°F
$1,225 Vol.
32%
98-99°F
$197 Vol.
3%
100-101°F
$272 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$222 Vol.
<1%
104°F or higher
$197 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models position mid-90s highs as the most likely outcome for Houston on August 6, aligning with the market's strong emphasis on the 94–95 °F and 96–97 °F bins. Typical late-summer conditions featuring a weakening upper-level ridge, high humidity, and afternoon sea-breeze moderation support daily maxima near the long-term August average of 94 °F, with limited potential for stronger heating inland. Minor model spread and local variability around coastal zones introduce modest uncertainty, keeping a narrower range of 92–97 °F dominant in trader consensus while longer-range outlooks show no major pattern shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$4,121Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models position mid-90s highs as the most likely outcome for Houston on August 6, aligning with the market's strong emphasis on the 94–95 °F and 96–97 °F bins. Typical late-summer conditions featuring a weakening upper-level ridge, high humidity, and afternoon sea-breeze moderation support daily maxima near the long-term August average of 94 °F, with limited potential for stronger heating inland. Minor model spread and local variability around coastal zones introduce modest uncertainty, keeping a narrower range of 92–97 °F dominant in trader consensus while longer-range outlooks show no major pattern shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,121Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models position mid-90s highs as the most likely outcome for Houston on August 6, aligning with the market's strong emphasis on the 94–95 °F and 96–97 °F bins. Typical late-summer conditions featuring a weakening upper-level ridge, high humidity, and afternoon sea-breeze moderation support daily maxima near the long-term August average of 94 °F, with limited potential for stronger heating inland. Minor model spread and local variability around coastal zones introduce modest uncertainty, keeping a narrower range of 92–97 °F dominant in trader consensus while longer-range outlooks show no major pattern shifts before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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