**Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco’s August 6 high near the climatological normal of ~70 °F.** National Weather Service forecasts issued early on the 6th call for morning marine stratus giving way to gradual clearing, with a high of 72 °F downtown and slightly warmer readings (~76 °F) at SFO; light west-southwest winds of 6–14 mph limit afternoon heating. These conditions explain the market’s tight clustering around 70–73 °F (combined >65 % implied probability). The 68–69 °F bin retains meaningful support because a thicker or slower-dissipating marine layer remains possible, while probabilities drop sharply above 74 °F absent a stronger offshore component or anomalous warming. Historical early-August maxima average 69–71 °F, so the current distribution reflects only modest day-to-day variability rather than any extreme deviation from baseline coastal cooling. Traders will watch the next NWS update and real-time observations for any shift in the depth or timing of the marine layer, which remains the dominant control on today’s peak temperature.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 6?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 6?
70-71°F 43%
72-73°F 24%
68-69°F 21%
74-75°F 5%
BARU
$15,432 Vol.
BARU
$15,432 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
43%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 43%
72-73°F 24%
68-69°F 21%
74-75°F 5%
BARU
$15,432 Vol.
BARU
$15,432 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
65°F or below
$483 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$915 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$996 Vol.
21%
70-71°F
$4,788 Vol.
43%
72-73°F
$2,419 Vol.
24%
74-75°F
$2,170 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$1,021 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$524 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$757 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$879 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$481 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco’s August 6 high near the climatological normal of ~70 °F.** National Weather Service forecasts issued early on the 6th call for morning marine stratus giving way to gradual clearing, with a high of 72 °F downtown and slightly warmer readings (~76 °F) at SFO; light west-southwest winds of 6–14 mph limit afternoon heating.
These conditions explain the market’s tight clustering around 70–73 °F (combined >65 % implied probability). The 68–69 °F bin retains meaningful support because a thicker or slower-dissipating marine layer remains possible, while probabilities drop sharply above 74 °F absent a stronger offshore component or anomalous warming. Historical early-August maxima average 69–71 °F, so the current distribution reflects only modest day-to-day variability rather than any extreme deviation from baseline coastal cooling.
Traders will watch the next NWS update and real-time observations for any shift in the depth or timing of the marine layer, which remains the dominant control on today’s peak temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$15,432Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco’s August 6 high near the climatological normal of ~70 °F.** National Weather Service forecasts issued early on the 6th call for morning marine stratus giving way to gradual clearing, with a high of 72 °F downtown and slightly warmer readings (~76 °F) at SFO; light west-southwest winds of 6–14 mph limit afternoon heating.
These conditions explain the market’s tight clustering around 70–73 °F (combined >65 % implied probability). The 68–69 °F bin retains meaningful support because a thicker or slower-dissipating marine layer remains possible, while probabilities drop sharply above 74 °F absent a stronger offshore component or anomalous warming. Historical early-August maxima average 69–71 °F, so the current distribution reflects only modest day-to-day variability rather than any extreme deviation from baseline coastal cooling.
Traders will watch the next NWS update and real-time observations for any shift in the depth or timing of the marine layer, which remains the dominant control on today’s peak temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,432Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are anchoring San Francisco’s August 6 high near the climatological normal of ~70 °F.** National Weather Service forecasts issued early on the 6th call for morning marine stratus giving way to gradual clearing, with a high of 72 °F downtown and slightly warmer readings (~76 °F) at SFO; light west-southwest winds of 6–14 mph limit afternoon heating. These conditions explain the market’s tight clustering around 70–73 °F (combined >65 % implied probability). The 68–69 °F bin retains meaningful support because a thicker or slower-dissipating marine layer remains possible, while probabilities drop sharply above 74 °F absent a stronger offshore component or anomalous warming. Historical early-August maxima average 69–71 °F, so the current distribution reflects only modest day-to-day variability rather than any extreme deviation from baseline coastal cooling. Traders will watch the next NWS update and real-time observations for any shift in the depth or timing of the marine layer, which remains the dominant control on today’s peak temperature.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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