Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus project a high of 95–97°F in Houston on September 23 under persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light winds, with heat indices exceeding 105°F and minimal rain chances. This places the day well above the late-September average of roughly 88°F. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability on 94–95°F and 25% on 96–97°F, incorporates minor forecast spread, official station measurement timing, and slight cooling potential from sea-breeze effects or model adjustments. Updated guidance through the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on September 23?
94-95°F 52%
96-97°F 25%
92-93°F 21%
100-101°F 18%
85°F or below
7%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
52%
96-97°F
25%
98-99°F
13%
100-101°F
18%
102-103°F
8%
104°F or higher
6%
94-95°F 52%
96-97°F 25%
92-93°F 21%
100-101°F 18%
85°F or below
7%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
52%
96-97°F
25%
98-99°F
13%
100-101°F
18%
102-103°F
8%
104°F or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus project a high of 95–97°F in Houston on September 23 under persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light winds, with heat indices exceeding 105°F and minimal rain chances. This places the day well above the late-September average of roughly 88°F. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability on 94–95°F and 25% on 96–97°F, incorporates minor forecast spread, official station measurement timing, and slight cooling potential from sea-breeze effects or model adjustments. Updated guidance through the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan