Current forecasts from multiple models, including WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Yr.no, project a high of 28–30°C for Jinan on September 1 under mostly sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where early-September averages reach 28°C. This strong consensus, backed by skin-in-the-game trader positioning at 97.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher, reflects reliable short-range model agreement on persistent warmth without significant cooling influences. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or rapid cloud cover increase, though such shifts remain low-probability given current atmospheric patterns and the proximity to resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jinan on September 1?
26°C or higher 98%
25°C 3%
24°C 1.1%
21°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
98%
26°C or higher 98%
25°C 3%
24°C 1.1%
21°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Yr.no, project a high of 28–30°C for Jinan on September 1 under mostly sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds, consistent with late-summer climatology where early-September averages reach 28°C. This strong consensus, backed by skin-in-the-game trader positioning at 97.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher, reflects reliable short-range model agreement on persistent warmth without significant cooling influences. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or rapid cloud cover increase, though such shifts remain low-probability given current atmospheric patterns and the proximity to resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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