Recent forecasts from PAGASA and ensemble models indicate the southwest monsoon (habagat) will maintain cloudy skies and scattered rainshowers or thunderstorms over Metro Manila on August 8, sharply reducing insolation and capping daytime heating. This pattern, reinforced by nearby tropical cyclone influences, positions 29–30°C as the most probable peak readings, consistent with the market’s 49% and 31% implied probabilities. Typical August climatology shows highs near 31°C, but persistent cloud cover and precipitation have shifted recent daily maxima lower, aligning trader sentiment with these outcomes. Updated model runs and official 24-hour forecasts expected in the next 48 hours will refine land-based observations used for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on August 8?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 8?
29°C 50%
28°C 28%
30°C 21%
31°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 8, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
28%
29°C
50%
30°C
21%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 50%
28°C 28%
30°C 21%
31°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 8, 2026
24°C or below
$474 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$380 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$429 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$513 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,865 Vol.
28%
29°C
$1,058 Vol.
50%
30°C
$891 Vol.
21%
31°C
$942 Vol.
3%
32°C
$403 Vol.
1%
33°C
$533 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$463 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and ensemble models indicate the southwest monsoon (habagat) will maintain cloudy skies and scattered rainshowers or thunderstorms over Metro Manila on August 8, sharply reducing insolation and capping daytime heating. This pattern, reinforced by nearby tropical cyclone influences, positions 29–30°C as the most probable peak readings, consistent with the market’s 49% and 31% implied probabilities. Typical August climatology shows highs near 31°C, but persistent cloud cover and precipitation have shifted recent daily maxima lower, aligning trader sentiment with these outcomes. Updated model runs and official 24-hour forecasts expected in the next 48 hours will refine land-based observations used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$7,951Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and ensemble models indicate the southwest monsoon (habagat) will maintain cloudy skies and scattered rainshowers or thunderstorms over Metro Manila on August 8, sharply reducing insolation and capping daytime heating. This pattern, reinforced by nearby tropical cyclone influences, positions 29–30°C as the most probable peak readings, consistent with the market’s 49% and 31% implied probabilities. Typical August climatology shows highs near 31°C, but persistent cloud cover and precipitation have shifted recent daily maxima lower, aligning trader sentiment with these outcomes. Updated model runs and official 24-hour forecasts expected in the next 48 hours will refine land-based observations used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,951Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and ensemble models indicate the southwest monsoon (habagat) will maintain cloudy skies and scattered rainshowers or thunderstorms over Metro Manila on August 8, sharply reducing insolation and capping daytime heating. This pattern, reinforced by nearby tropical cyclone influences, positions 29–30°C as the most probable peak readings, consistent with the market’s 49% and 31% implied probabilities. Typical August climatology shows highs near 31°C, but persistent cloud cover and precipitation have shifted recent daily maxima lower, aligning trader sentiment with these outcomes. Updated model runs and official 24-hour forecasts expected in the next 48 hours will refine land-based observations used for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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