Recent forecasts for Zhengzhou point to a daytime maximum near 30°C on August 20, driven by warm, humid air masses with light easterly winds and a chance of thundery showers that could limit afternoon heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model consensus, including high-resolution runs, shows surface temperatures hovering around this threshold amid typical late-summer monsoon influences, where dew points near 25°C enhance the heat index but may suppress peaks if convection develops earlier than expected. This uncertainty—centered on exact timing of any showers and localized variations in solar insolation—explains the near-even market-implied odds between 30°C and 31°C, with meaningful probability assigned to 32°C or higher if skies clear longer than anticipated. Updated guidance from regional agencies over the next 24 hours will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 20?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 20?
31°C 44%
30°C 44%
32°C or higher 40%
27°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 20, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
12%
28°C
9%
29°C
11%
30°C
44%
31°C
44%
32°C or higher
40%
31°C 44%
30°C 44%
32°C or higher 40%
27°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 20, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
6%
27°C
$32 Vol.
12%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$0 Vol.
11%
30°C
$0 Vol.
44%
31°C
$0 Vol.
44%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Zhengzhou point to a daytime maximum near 30°C on August 20, driven by warm, humid air masses with light easterly winds and a chance of thundery showers that could limit afternoon heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model consensus, including high-resolution runs, shows surface temperatures hovering around this threshold amid typical late-summer monsoon influences, where dew points near 25°C enhance the heat index but may suppress peaks if convection develops earlier than expected. This uncertainty—centered on exact timing of any showers and localized variations in solar insolation—explains the near-even market-implied odds between 30°C and 31°C, with meaningful probability assigned to 32°C or higher if skies clear longer than anticipated. Updated guidance from regional agencies over the next 24 hours will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$42Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Zhengzhou point to a daytime maximum near 30°C on August 20, driven by warm, humid air masses with light easterly winds and a chance of thundery showers that could limit afternoon heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model consensus, including high-resolution runs, shows surface temperatures hovering around this threshold amid typical late-summer monsoon influences, where dew points near 25°C enhance the heat index but may suppress peaks if convection develops earlier than expected. This uncertainty—centered on exact timing of any showers and localized variations in solar insolation—explains the near-even market-implied odds between 30°C and 31°C, with meaningful probability assigned to 32°C or higher if skies clear longer than anticipated. Updated guidance from regional agencies over the next 24 hours will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$42Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Zhengzhou point to a daytime maximum near 30°C on August 20, driven by warm, humid air masses with light easterly winds and a chance of thundery showers that could limit afternoon heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model consensus, including high-resolution runs, shows surface temperatures hovering around this threshold amid typical late-summer monsoon influences, where dew points near 25°C enhance the heat index but may suppress peaks if convection develops earlier than expected. This uncertainty—centered on exact timing of any showers and localized variations in solar insolation—explains the near-even market-implied odds between 30°C and 31°C, with meaningful probability assigned to 32°C or higher if skies clear longer than anticipated. Updated guidance from regional agencies over the next 24 hours will likely refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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