Traders assign a 97.7% probability against Jeffrey Epstein being confirmed alive before 2027, reflecting the official 2019 ruling of death by suicide while in federal custody, supported by autopsy findings, medical examiner records, and subsequent Department of Justice reviews that found no evidence of foul play or survival. No credible sightings, DNA matches, or official statements have emerged in the intervening years to challenge that determination. The market's strong consensus rests on the finality of these legal and forensic records rather than speculation. Plausible developments that could still alter the outcome include new verifiable forensic evidence, an authoritative government announcement, or documented public confirmation within the resolution window.