Jerome Powell’s 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor runs through January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026. He has publicly committed to remaining on the board for an undetermined period pending resolution of an investigation into the Fed’s headquarters construction project, amid ongoing political friction with the Trump administration. Market-implied odds for departure by year-end 2026 sit near 20-27 percent, reflecting trader assessment that his statutory term and stated intentions create a high bar for early exit. Key upcoming catalysts include any developments in the ongoing probe, Federal Reserve Board announcements, or shifts in administration pressure that could influence resignation timing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$435,015 Vol.
December 31
19%
$435,015 Vol.
December 31
19%
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor runs through January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026. He has publicly committed to remaining on the board for an undetermined period pending resolution of an investigation into the Fed’s headquarters construction project, amid ongoing political friction with the Trump administration. Market-implied odds for departure by year-end 2026 sit near 20-27 percent, reflecting trader assessment that his statutory term and stated intentions create a high bar for early exit. Key upcoming catalysts include any developments in the ongoing probe, Federal Reserve Board announcements, or shifts in administration pressure that could influence resignation timing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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