Recent cooling in June headline CPI to a 3.5% year-over-year pace, driven by a sharp 0.4% month-over-month decline amid lower energy prices, sets up expectations for a partial rebound in July data. Persistent core pressures from shelter, services, and potential tariff pass-through into goods support trader positioning toward positive monthly readings of 0.1% or higher at 64.5% implied probability. The Federal Reserve’s steady 3.50–3.75% policy rate and incoming Chair Kevin Warsh’s emphasis on returning inflation to the 2% target reinforce caution around upside risks, while the August 12 release remains the key near-term catalyst ahead of further labor-market and supply-chain updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui≥0.1% 65%
0.0% 28%
-0.1% 4.7%
-0.2% <1%
$80,175 Vol.
$80,175 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
≤-0.7%
<1%
-0.6%
<1%
-0.5%
<1%
-0.4%
<1%
-0.3%
<1%
-0.2%
1%
-0.1%
5%
0.0%
28%
≥0.1%
65%
≥0.1% 65%
0.0% 28%
-0.1% 4.7%
-0.2% <1%
$80,175 Vol.
$80,175 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
≤-0.7%
$3,527 Vol.
<1%
-0.6%
$1,283 Vol.
<1%
-0.5%
$1,314 Vol.
<1%
-0.4%
$1,356 Vol.
<1%
-0.3%
$1,549 Vol.
<1%
-0.2%
$1,814 Vol.
1%
-0.1%
$3,522 Vol.
5%
0.0%
$15,524 Vol.
28%
≥0.1%
$50,286 Vol.
65%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent cooling in June headline CPI to a 3.5% year-over-year pace, driven by a sharp 0.4% month-over-month decline amid lower energy prices, sets up expectations for a partial rebound in July data. Persistent core pressures from shelter, services, and potential tariff pass-through into goods support trader positioning toward positive monthly readings of 0.1% or higher at 64.5% implied probability. The Federal Reserve’s steady 3.50–3.75% policy rate and incoming Chair Kevin Warsh’s emphasis on returning inflation to the 2% target reinforce caution around upside risks, while the August 12 release remains the key near-term catalyst ahead of further labor-market and supply-chain updates.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ET
Volume
$80,175Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent cooling in June headline CPI to a 3.5% year-over-year pace, driven by a sharp 0.4% month-over-month decline amid lower energy prices, sets up expectations for a partial rebound in July data. Persistent core pressures from shelter, services, and potential tariff pass-through into goods support trader positioning toward positive monthly readings of 0.1% or higher at 64.5% implied probability. The Federal Reserve’s steady 3.50–3.75% policy rate and incoming Chair Kevin Warsh’s emphasis on returning inflation to the 2% target reinforce caution around upside risks, while the August 12 release remains the key near-term catalyst ahead of further labor-market and supply-chain updates.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$80,175Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling in June headline CPI to a 3.5% year-over-year pace, driven by a sharp 0.4% month-over-month decline amid lower energy prices, sets up expectations for a partial rebound in July data. Persistent core pressures from shelter, services, and potential tariff pass-through into goods support trader positioning toward positive monthly readings of 0.1% or higher at 64.5% implied probability. The Federal Reserve’s steady 3.50–3.75% policy rate and incoming Chair Kevin Warsh’s emphasis on returning inflation to the 2% target reinforce caution around upside risks, while the August 12 release remains the key near-term catalyst ahead of further labor-market and supply-chain updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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