Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on September 24 near 11–12°C under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and minimal precipitation, supporting the market's tight clustering around these outcomes. Radiative cooling overnight, modulated by cloud cover that limits heat loss, and mild advection of cooler maritime air differentiate probabilities between 11°C and 14°C, with dew points around 10°C suggesting limited further drop. Historical September minima average near 12°C, though recent drier conditions and stable high pressure favor values at the lower end of the 9–14°C range implied by trader consensus. Updated model runs and any last-minute wind shifts could refine these odds before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 24?
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
11°C 25%
BARU
BARU
Sep 24, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
25%
12°C
23%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
11°C 25%
BARU
BARU
Sep 24, 2026
7°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$0 Vol.
40%
9°C
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$10 Vol.
40%
11°C
$12 Vol.
25%
12°C
$131 Vol.
23%
13°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$51 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on September 24 near 11–12°C under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and minimal precipitation, supporting the market's tight clustering around these outcomes. Radiative cooling overnight, modulated by cloud cover that limits heat loss, and mild advection of cooler maritime air differentiate probabilities between 11°C and 14°C, with dew points around 10°C suggesting limited further drop. Historical September minima average near 12°C, though recent drier conditions and stable high pressure favor values at the lower end of the 9–14°C range implied by trader consensus. Updated model runs and any last-minute wind shifts could refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$348Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on September 24 near 11–12°C under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and minimal precipitation, supporting the market's tight clustering around these outcomes. Radiative cooling overnight, modulated by cloud cover that limits heat loss, and mild advection of cooler maritime air differentiate probabilities between 11°C and 14°C, with dew points around 10°C suggesting limited further drop. Historical September minima average near 12°C, though recent drier conditions and stable high pressure favor values at the lower end of the 9–14°C range implied by trader consensus. Updated model runs and any last-minute wind shifts could refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$348Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47de9d...Current forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on September 24 near 11–12°C under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and minimal precipitation, supporting the market's tight clustering around these outcomes. Radiative cooling overnight, modulated by cloud cover that limits heat loss, and mild advection of cooler maritime air differentiate probabilities between 11°C and 14°C, with dew points around 10°C suggesting limited further drop. Historical September minima average near 12°C, though recent drier conditions and stable high pressure favor values at the lower end of the 9–14°C range implied by trader consensus. Updated model runs and any last-minute wind shifts could refine these odds before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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