The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast anchors trader sentiment at a 28°C minimum for August 24, citing a broad low-pressure trough with persistent southwesterly flow, scattered showers, and mainly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling while sustaining elevated humidity. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures cluster near 27–28°C amid warm advection and minimal diurnal range. Model consensus from regional guidance shows little deviation, keeping implied probabilities above 96% for 28°C. The primary resolution risk remains a modest downward revision if heavier nocturnal precipitation or a brief wind shift enhances cooling, though current observations and the day's advanced timing make such shifts unlikely before the official daily minimum is recorded at the observatory.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
28°C 97%
27°C 2%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$21,284 Vol.
$21,284 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
97%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
28°C 97%
27°C 2%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$21,284 Vol.
$21,284 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$120 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,510 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,851 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,232 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,594 Vol.
2%
28°C
$5,850 Vol.
97%
29°C
$5,543 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast anchors trader sentiment at a 28°C minimum for August 24, citing a broad low-pressure trough with persistent southwesterly flow, scattered showers, and mainly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling while sustaining elevated humidity. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures cluster near 27–28°C amid warm advection and minimal diurnal range. Model consensus from regional guidance shows little deviation, keeping implied probabilities above 96% for 28°C. The primary resolution risk remains a modest downward revision if heavier nocturnal precipitation or a brief wind shift enhances cooling, though current observations and the day's advanced timing make such shifts unlikely before the official daily minimum is recorded at the observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$21,284Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast anchors trader sentiment at a 28°C minimum for August 24, citing a broad low-pressure trough with persistent southwesterly flow, scattered showers, and mainly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling while sustaining elevated humidity. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures cluster near 27–28°C amid warm advection and minimal diurnal range. Model consensus from regional guidance shows little deviation, keeping implied probabilities above 96% for 28°C. The primary resolution risk remains a modest downward revision if heavier nocturnal precipitation or a brief wind shift enhances cooling, though current observations and the day's advanced timing make such shifts unlikely before the official daily minimum is recorded at the observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,284Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast anchors trader sentiment at a 28°C minimum for August 24, citing a broad low-pressure trough with persistent southwesterly flow, scattered showers, and mainly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling while sustaining elevated humidity. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures cluster near 27–28°C amid warm advection and minimal diurnal range. Model consensus from regional guidance shows little deviation, keeping implied probabilities above 96% for 28°C. The primary resolution risk remains a modest downward revision if heavier nocturnal precipitation or a brief wind shift enhances cooling, though current observations and the day's advanced timing make such shifts unlikely before the official daily minimum is recorded at the observatory.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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